Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Houston points to an overnight low in the mid-70s on September 2, driven by high dew points near 75°F, light southerly flow, and widespread cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when the average daily minimum at Hobby Airport is 75°F amid typical Gulf moisture. Scattered showers and thunderstorms expected during the day may further moderate nighttime temperatures without introducing cooler air masses. Trader consensus around 74–75°F reflects these stable late-summer conditions, with lower probabilities assigned to 72°F or below absent a stronger frontal passage or drier air intrusion. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Houston on September 2?
72-73°F 100%
80-81°F 96%
86-87°F 95%
82-83°F 86%
71°F or below
50%
72-73°F
100%
74-75°F
63%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
47%
80-81°F
96%
82-83°F
86%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
95%
88-89°F
45%
90°F or higher
47%
72-73°F 100%
80-81°F 96%
86-87°F 95%
82-83°F 86%
71°F or below
50%
72-73°F
100%
74-75°F
63%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
47%
80-81°F
96%
82-83°F
86%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
95%
88-89°F
45%
90°F or higher
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Houston points to an overnight low in the mid-70s on September 2, driven by high dew points near 75°F, light southerly flow, and widespread cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when the average daily minimum at Hobby Airport is 75°F amid typical Gulf moisture. Scattered showers and thunderstorms expected during the day may further moderate nighttime temperatures without introducing cooler air masses. Trader consensus around 74–75°F reflects these stable late-summer conditions, with lower probabilities assigned to 72°F or below absent a stronger frontal passage or drier air intrusion. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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