Persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow from the Pacific are suppressing daytime heating in Seattle, keeping National Weather Service and model consensus centered on highs in the upper 60s to low 70s for August 30—well below the climatological average near 75°F. Lingering cloud cover, residual moisture from prior showers, light winds, and a stable boundary layer further limit solar insolation and warming potential, positioning the 70-71°F bin as the market leader at 41.5% implied probability. Limited afternoon clearing could allow brief spikes toward 72°F in some guidance, supporting the secondary 68-69°F and 72-73°F outcomes, while any stronger marine push would favor cooler readings. Traders are weighting official Seattle-Tacoma International Airport observations, with final resolution hinging on the day's maximum reading.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seattle on August 30?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 30?
70-71°F 42%
68-69°F 30%
72-73°F 16%
66-67°F 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
30%
70-71°F
42%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
1%
70-71°F 42%
68-69°F 30%
72-73°F 16%
66-67°F 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
59°F or below
$43 KL.
<1%
60-61°F
$9 KL.
<1%
62-63°F
$38 KL.
2%
64-65°F
$62 KL.
4%
66-67°F
$64 KL.
10%
68-69°F
$310 KL.
30%
70-71°F
$493 KL.
42%
72-73°F
$386 KL.
16%
74-75°F
$78 KL.
4%
76-77°F
$9 KL.
<1%
78°F or higher
$105 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow from the Pacific are suppressing daytime heating in Seattle, keeping National Weather Service and model consensus centered on highs in the upper 60s to low 70s for August 30—well below the climatological average near 75°F. Lingering cloud cover, residual moisture from prior showers, light winds, and a stable boundary layer further limit solar insolation and warming potential, positioning the 70-71°F bin as the market leader at 41.5% implied probability. Limited afternoon clearing could allow brief spikes toward 72°F in some guidance, supporting the secondary 68-69°F and 72-73°F outcomes, while any stronger marine push would favor cooler readings. Traders are weighting official Seattle-Tacoma International Airport observations, with final resolution hinging on the day's maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 10:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,596Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 10:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow from the Pacific are suppressing daytime heating in Seattle, keeping National Weather Service and model consensus centered on highs in the upper 60s to low 70s for August 30—well below the climatological average near 75°F. Lingering cloud cover, residual moisture from prior showers, light winds, and a stable boundary layer further limit solar insolation and warming potential, positioning the 70-71°F bin as the market leader at 41.5% implied probability. Limited afternoon clearing could allow brief spikes toward 72°F in some guidance, supporting the secondary 68-69°F and 72-73°F outcomes, while any stronger marine push would favor cooler readings. Traders are weighting official Seattle-Tacoma International Airport observations, with final resolution hinging on the day's maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,596Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 10:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow from the Pacific are suppressing daytime heating in Seattle, keeping National Weather Service and model consensus centered on highs in the upper 60s to low 70s for August 30—well below the climatological average near 75°F. Lingering cloud cover, residual moisture from prior showers, light winds, and a stable boundary layer further limit solar insolation and warming potential, positioning the 70-71°F bin as the market leader at 41.5% implied probability. Limited afternoon clearing could allow brief spikes toward 72°F in some guidance, supporting the secondary 68-69°F and 72-73°F outcomes, while any stronger marine push would favor cooler readings. Traders are weighting official Seattle-Tacoma International Airport observations, with final resolution hinging on the day's maximum reading.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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