Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate clear skies and light northeast winds over Toronto on September 6, favoring radiative cooling overnight after a daytime high near 24°C. This setup typically produces a low around 16°C, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 15.5°C, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to retain heat. Trader consensus on the 10°C-or-below and 20°C-or-higher outcomes at 34.5% each, alongside clustered probabilities near 15–17°C, reflects model spread in exact minimums driven by small differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew points near 14°C, and potential lake-breeze moderation. New model runs and official updates over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Toronto on September 6?
10°C or below 69%
20°C or higher 69%
15°C 50%
12°C 49%
10°C or below
69%
11°C
34%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C
49%
15°C
50%
16°C
26%
17°C
25%
18°C
49%
19°C
39%
20°C or higher
69%
10°C or below 69%
20°C or higher 69%
15°C 50%
12°C 49%
10°C or below
69%
11°C
34%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C
49%
15°C
50%
16°C
26%
17°C
25%
18°C
49%
19°C
39%
20°C or higher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate clear skies and light northeast winds over Toronto on September 6, favoring radiative cooling overnight after a daytime high near 24°C. This setup typically produces a low around 16°C, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 15.5°C, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to retain heat. Trader consensus on the 10°C-or-below and 20°C-or-higher outcomes at 34.5% each, alongside clustered probabilities near 15–17°C, reflects model spread in exact minimums driven by small differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew points near 14°C, and potential lake-breeze moderation. New model runs and official updates over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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