Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS indicate a daytime maximum near 21°C in Moscow on September 4, driven by southwesterly flow advecting mild air under variable cloud cover with only isolated light showers possible. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 20–22°C, consistent with recent runs that have stabilized after earlier variability in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. This consensus supports the market-implied odds favoring 21°C (53%) over 22°C (27.5%) or 20°C (14.5%), while cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability outliers given the current steering pattern and lack of strong frontal systems. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will refine the exact peak.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on September 4?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 4?
21°C 53%
22°C 28%
20°C 15%
19°C 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
15%
21°C
53%
22°C
28%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 53%
22°C 28%
20°C 15%
19°C 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
16°C or below
$41 KL.
1%
17°C
$40 KL.
1%
18°C
$82 KL.
<1%
19°C
$197 KL.
3%
20°C
$135 KL.
15%
21°C
$588 KL.
53%
22°C
$100 KL.
28%
23°C
$340 KL.
3%
24°C
$1 KL.
<1%
25°C
$27 KL.
1%
26°C or higher
$41 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS indicate a daytime maximum near 21°C in Moscow on September 4, driven by southwesterly flow advecting mild air under variable cloud cover with only isolated light showers possible. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 20–22°C, consistent with recent runs that have stabilized after earlier variability in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. This consensus supports the market-implied odds favoring 21°C (53%) over 22°C (27.5%) or 20°C (14.5%), while cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability outliers given the current steering pattern and lack of strong frontal systems. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,593Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS indicate a daytime maximum near 21°C in Moscow on September 4, driven by southwesterly flow advecting mild air under variable cloud cover with only isolated light showers possible. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 20–22°C, consistent with recent runs that have stabilized after earlier variability in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. This consensus supports the market-implied odds favoring 21°C (53%) over 22°C (27.5%) or 20°C (14.5%), while cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability outliers given the current steering pattern and lack of strong frontal systems. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,593Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS indicate a daytime maximum near 21°C in Moscow on September 4, driven by southwesterly flow advecting mild air under variable cloud cover with only isolated light showers possible. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 20–22°C, consistent with recent runs that have stabilized after earlier variability in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. This consensus supports the market-implied odds favoring 21°C (53%) over 22°C (27.5%) or 20°C (14.5%), while cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability outliers given the current steering pattern and lack of strong frontal systems. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will refine the exact peak.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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