Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate a weather system bringing widespread rain and thunderstorms to Tokyo on September 4, 2026, with cloud cover and precipitation expected to suppress daytime heating and limit the maximum temperature to the mid-20s°C range. This follows warmer conditions around 30–32°C on September 2–3, as a cooler, more humid air mass arrives with easterly or northerly winds. High humidity levels above 80% further reduce the potential for strong solar warming. Trader emphasis on 26–28°C outcomes reflects model consensus on moderate cooling amid timing uncertainties in rain onset and intensity, while lower probabilities for extremes align with the low likelihood of clear skies or significant warming under these conditions. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 4?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 4?
27°C 36%
26°C 24%
28°C 22%
29°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
8%
26°C
24%
27°C
36%
28°C
22%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
2%
27°C 36%
26°C 24%
28°C 22%
29°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
21°C or below
$0 KL.
2%
22°C
$0 KL.
2%
23°C
$310 KL.
2%
24°C
$638 KL.
4%
25°C
$335 KL.
8%
26°C
$157 KL.
24%
27°C
$158 KL.
36%
28°C
$264 KL.
22%
29°C
$102 KL.
9%
30°C
$64 KL.
3%
31°C or higher
$119 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate a weather system bringing widespread rain and thunderstorms to Tokyo on September 4, 2026, with cloud cover and precipitation expected to suppress daytime heating and limit the maximum temperature to the mid-20s°C range. This follows warmer conditions around 30–32°C on September 2–3, as a cooler, more humid air mass arrives with easterly or northerly winds. High humidity levels above 80% further reduce the potential for strong solar warming. Trader emphasis on 26–28°C outcomes reflects model consensus on moderate cooling amid timing uncertainties in rain onset and intensity, while lower probabilities for extremes align with the low likelihood of clear skies or significant warming under these conditions. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,147Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate a weather system bringing widespread rain and thunderstorms to Tokyo on September 4, 2026, with cloud cover and precipitation expected to suppress daytime heating and limit the maximum temperature to the mid-20s°C range. This follows warmer conditions around 30–32°C on September 2–3, as a cooler, more humid air mass arrives with easterly or northerly winds. High humidity levels above 80% further reduce the potential for strong solar warming. Trader emphasis on 26–28°C outcomes reflects model consensus on moderate cooling amid timing uncertainties in rain onset and intensity, while lower probabilities for extremes align with the low likelihood of clear skies or significant warming under these conditions. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,147Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate a weather system bringing widespread rain and thunderstorms to Tokyo on September 4, 2026, with cloud cover and precipitation expected to suppress daytime heating and limit the maximum temperature to the mid-20s°C range. This follows warmer conditions around 30–32°C on September 2–3, as a cooler, more humid air mass arrives with easterly or northerly winds. High humidity levels above 80% further reduce the potential for strong solar warming. Trader emphasis on 26–28°C outcomes reflects model consensus on moderate cooling amid timing uncertainties in rain onset and intensity, while lower probabilities for extremes align with the low likelihood of clear skies or significant warming under these conditions. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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