Recent cold air advection from a polar front, combined with clear skies and radiative cooling under high pressure, drove the strong trader consensus around a 13°C minimum in São Paulo on September 8. Official monitoring from Inmet and the Centro de Gerenciamento de Emergências showed temperatures bottoming near that threshold after the sharper 10.1°C reading on September 7, consistent with seasonal September climatology and model consensus that the coldest air had already passed. Surface observations and ensemble forecasts aligned on limited overnight cooling once winds shifted and humidity rose slightly, producing the market-implied probability above 90%. Scenarios that could still alter resolution include post-analysis revisions from official stations or unaccounted microclimate effects at the primary measurement site.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 8?
13°C 99.5%
9°C 3%
12°C 2.0%
7°C or below <1%
$2,052 KL.
$2,052 KL.
Sep 8, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
13°C 99.5%
9°C 3%
12°C 2.0%
7°C or below <1%
$2,052 KL.
$2,052 KL.
Sep 8, 2026
7°C or below
$187 KL.
No
8°C
$165 KL.
No
9°C
$30 KL.
No
10°C
$167 KL.
No
11°C
$148 KL.
No
12°C
$36 KL.
No
13°C
$399 KL.
Yes
14°C
$315 KL.
No
15°C
$254 KL.
No
16°C
$284 KL.
No
17°C or higher
$67 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection from a polar front, combined with clear skies and radiative cooling under high pressure, drove the strong trader consensus around a 13°C minimum in São Paulo on September 8. Official monitoring from Inmet and the Centro de Gerenciamento de Emergências showed temperatures bottoming near that threshold after the sharper 10.1°C reading on September 7, consistent with seasonal September climatology and model consensus that the coldest air had already passed. Surface observations and ensemble forecasts aligned on limited overnight cooling once winds shifted and humidity rose slightly, producing the market-implied probability above 90%. Scenarios that could still alter resolution include post-analysis revisions from official stations or unaccounted microclimate effects at the primary measurement site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 6, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,052Ngày kết thúc
Sep 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 6, 2026, 8:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection from a polar front, combined with clear skies and radiative cooling under high pressure, drove the strong trader consensus around a 13°C minimum in São Paulo on September 8. Official monitoring from Inmet and the Centro de Gerenciamento de Emergências showed temperatures bottoming near that threshold after the sharper 10.1°C reading on September 7, consistent with seasonal September climatology and model consensus that the coldest air had already passed. Surface observations and ensemble forecasts aligned on limited overnight cooling once winds shifted and humidity rose slightly, producing the market-implied probability above 90%. Scenarios that could still alter resolution include post-analysis revisions from official stations or unaccounted microclimate effects at the primary measurement site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,052Ngày kết thúc
Sep 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 6, 2026, 8:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent cold air advection from a polar front, combined with clear skies and radiative cooling under high pressure, drove the strong trader consensus around a 13°C minimum in São Paulo on September 8. Official monitoring from Inmet and the Centro de Gerenciamento de Emergências showed temperatures bottoming near that threshold after the sharper 10.1°C reading on September 7, consistent with seasonal September climatology and model consensus that the coldest air had already passed. Surface observations and ensemble forecasts aligned on limited overnight cooling once winds shifted and humidity rose slightly, producing the market-implied probability above 90%. Scenarios that could still alter resolution include post-analysis revisions from official stations or unaccounted microclimate effects at the primary measurement site.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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