**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 20°C high in Warsaw on September 15, 2026, rests on real-time observational data from regional meteorological networks showing an afternoon peak of exactly that value under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds around 7 km/h, and stable high pressure near 1019 hPa.** Hourly readings confirm temperatures climbing from morning lows near 12–14°C to 19–21°C midday before declining, aligning with typical mid-September climatology for the area where maximums average 18–20°C. Model consensus from sources such as GFS reinforced this outcome with minimal spread, and the day’s resolution criteria—official highest recorded temperature—leave little room for variance at this stage. A late surge above 20°C or post-event data adjustment from the primary reporting station could theoretically shift the result, though current conditions and timing make such revisions improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 15?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 15?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$26,696 KL.
$26,696 KL.
Sep 15, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$26,696 KL.
$26,696 KL.
Sep 15, 2026
15°C or below
$168 KL.
No
16°C
$108 KL.
No
17°C
$1,952 KL.
No
18°C
$3,868 KL.
No
19°C
$4,953 KL.
No
20°C
$5,263 KL.
Yes
21°C
$4,725 KL.
No
22°C
$2,931 KL.
No
23°C
$1,249 KL.
No
24°C
$1,059 KL.
No
25°C or higher
$420 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 20°C high in Warsaw on September 15, 2026, rests on real-time observational data from regional meteorological networks showing an afternoon peak of exactly that value under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds around 7 km/h, and stable high pressure near 1019 hPa.** Hourly readings confirm temperatures climbing from morning lows near 12–14°C to 19–21°C midday before declining, aligning with typical mid-September climatology for the area where maximums average 18–20°C. Model consensus from sources such as GFS reinforced this outcome with minimal spread, and the day’s resolution criteria—official highest recorded temperature—leave little room for variance at this stage. A late surge above 20°C or post-event data adjustment from the primary reporting station could theoretically shift the result, though current conditions and timing make such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$26,696Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 20°C high in Warsaw on September 15, 2026, rests on real-time observational data from regional meteorological networks showing an afternoon peak of exactly that value under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds around 7 km/h, and stable high pressure near 1019 hPa.** Hourly readings confirm temperatures climbing from morning lows near 12–14°C to 19–21°C midday before declining, aligning with typical mid-September climatology for the area where maximums average 18–20°C. Model consensus from sources such as GFS reinforced this outcome with minimal spread, and the day’s resolution criteria—official highest recorded temperature—leave little room for variance at this stage. A late surge above 20°C or post-event data adjustment from the primary reporting station could theoretically shift the result, though current conditions and timing make such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$26,696Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 20°C high in Warsaw on September 15, 2026, rests on real-time observational data from regional meteorological networks showing an afternoon peak of exactly that value under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds around 7 km/h, and stable high pressure near 1019 hPa.** Hourly readings confirm temperatures climbing from morning lows near 12–14°C to 19–21°C midday before declining, aligning with typical mid-September climatology for the area where maximums average 18–20°C. Model consensus from sources such as GFS reinforced this outcome with minimal spread, and the day’s resolution criteria—official highest recorded temperature—leave little room for variance at this stage. A late surge above 20°C or post-event data adjustment from the primary reporting station could theoretically shift the result, though current conditions and timing make such revisions improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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