Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a highest temperature in the mid-60s for Seattle on September 15, with cloud cover, light northerly winds, and possible drizzle limiting daytime warming under a marine-influenced airmass. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 64–67 °F outcomes. Cooler-than-normal readings relative to the late-summer climatological average of roughly 71 °F reflect persistent onshore flow and limited solar insolation. Final NWS forecast updates and hourly observations through tomorrow afternoon will resolve the precise maximum, leaving modest uncertainty between the two leading bins as model solutions converge.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seattle on September 15?
66-67°F 34%
64-65°F 30%
62-63°F 15%
68-69°F 15%
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
6%
62-63°F
15%
64-65°F
30%
66-67°F
34%
68-69°F
15%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 34%
64-65°F 30%
62-63°F 15%
68-69°F 15%
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
6%
62-63°F
15%
64-65°F
30%
66-67°F
34%
68-69°F
15%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a highest temperature in the mid-60s for Seattle on September 15, with cloud cover, light northerly winds, and possible drizzle limiting daytime warming under a marine-influenced airmass. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 64–67 °F outcomes. Cooler-than-normal readings relative to the late-summer climatological average of roughly 71 °F reflect persistent onshore flow and limited solar insolation. Final NWS forecast updates and hourly observations through tomorrow afternoon will resolve the precise maximum, leaving modest uncertainty between the two leading bins as model solutions converge.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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