Recent meteorological forecasts for Wellington on September 14 converge on a daytime maximum near 16°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with spring climatology, where highs typically reach 14–15°C amid strengthening westerlies and variable high-pressure influence, though current model runs show slightly elevated readings due to northerly flow. Official guidance from sources like the MetService and international ensembles places the most probable outcome at 16°C, with modest upside potential to 17°C if daytime heating exceeds expectations. Trader consensus, reflected in the 63% implied probability for 16°C, incorporates these stable short-range model outputs while acknowledging residual uncertainty from wind shifts or cloud cover that could cap the high at 15°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on September 14?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 14?
16°C 64%
15°C 23%
17°C 12%
14°C 5%
MỚI
$14,218 KL.
MỚI
$14,218 KL.
Sep 14, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
5%
15°C
23%
16°C
64%
17°C
12%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
16°C 64%
15°C 23%
17°C 12%
14°C 5%
MỚI
$14,218 KL.
MỚI
$14,218 KL.
Sep 14, 2026
9°C or below
$573 KL.
<1%
10°C
$573 KL.
<1%
11°C
$79 KL.
<1%
12°C
$64 KL.
<1%
13°C
$382 KL.
<1%
14°C
$1,005 KL.
5%
15°C
$1,649 KL.
23%
16°C
$7,280 KL.
64%
17°C
$1,644 KL.
12%
18°C
$763 KL.
<1%
19°C or higher
$206 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Wellington on September 14 converge on a daytime maximum near 16°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with spring climatology, where highs typically reach 14–15°C amid strengthening westerlies and variable high-pressure influence, though current model runs show slightly elevated readings due to northerly flow. Official guidance from sources like the MetService and international ensembles places the most probable outcome at 16°C, with modest upside potential to 17°C if daytime heating exceeds expectations. Trader consensus, reflected in the 63% implied probability for 16°C, incorporates these stable short-range model outputs while acknowledging residual uncertainty from wind shifts or cloud cover that could cap the high at 15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$14,218Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Wellington on September 14 converge on a daytime maximum near 16°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with spring climatology, where highs typically reach 14–15°C amid strengthening westerlies and variable high-pressure influence, though current model runs show slightly elevated readings due to northerly flow. Official guidance from sources like the MetService and international ensembles places the most probable outcome at 16°C, with modest upside potential to 17°C if daytime heating exceeds expectations. Trader consensus, reflected in the 63% implied probability for 16°C, incorporates these stable short-range model outputs while acknowledging residual uncertainty from wind shifts or cloud cover that could cap the high at 15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$14,218Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Wellington on September 14 converge on a daytime maximum near 16°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with spring climatology, where highs typically reach 14–15°C amid strengthening westerlies and variable high-pressure influence, though current model runs show slightly elevated readings due to northerly flow. Official guidance from sources like the MetService and international ensembles places the most probable outcome at 16°C, with modest upside potential to 17°C if daytime heating exceeds expectations. Trader consensus, reflected in the 63% implied probability for 16°C, incorporates these stable short-range model outputs while acknowledging residual uncertainty from wind shifts or cloud cover that could cap the high at 15°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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