Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 13 indicate a daily maximum near 30–31°C, consistent with typical early-September conditions influenced by subtropical high pressure and monsoon moisture. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover, with precipitation chances of 25–70% depending on the model run, introduce the main uncertainty: heavier or earlier rain could suppress the peak below 30°C, while delayed or lighter activity might allow brief warming to 32°C. Low wind speeds and high humidity near 70–85% further limit rapid temperature rises. Trader consensus, reflected in the tight spread across 30–32°C outcomes, aligns with this narrow forecast range from official and ensemble guidance, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity observed by local stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 13?
31°C 29%
30°C 26%
32°C 17%
33°C 12%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
11%
30°C
26%
31°C
29%
32°C
17%
33°C
12%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 29%
30°C 26%
32°C 17%
33°C 12%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
11%
30°C
26%
31°C
29%
32°C
17%
33°C
12%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 13 indicate a daily maximum near 30–31°C, consistent with typical early-September conditions influenced by subtropical high pressure and monsoon moisture. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover, with precipitation chances of 25–70% depending on the model run, introduce the main uncertainty: heavier or earlier rain could suppress the peak below 30°C, while delayed or lighter activity might allow brief warming to 32°C. Low wind speeds and high humidity near 70–85% further limit rapid temperature rises. Trader consensus, reflected in the tight spread across 30–32°C outcomes, aligns with this narrow forecast range from official and ensemble guidance, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity observed by local stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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