Northeast monsoon flow over southern China is the main driver moderating temperatures ahead of September 11, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a 25–31°C range under mainly fine, dry daytime conditions and north-to-northeast winds of force 4–5. Recent observations show daytime highs near 31–32°C, while model consensus and historical September baselines support a peak in the low 30s rather than extremes. Close market-implied odds around 31–33°C reflect uncertainty in exact afternoon heating tied to variable cloud cover, wind strength, and any late-day showers, with fresh HKO updates and regional model runs expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
32°C 37%
31°C 26%
30°C 20%
33°C 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 11, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
20%
31°C
26%
32°C
37%
33°C
19%
34°C
3%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 37%
31°C 26%
30°C 20%
33°C 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 11, 2026
26°C or below
$167 KL.
<1%
27°C
$13 KL.
<1%
28°C
$6 KL.
3%
29°C
$27 KL.
10%
30°C
$63 KL.
20%
31°C
$0 KL.
26%
32°C
$293 KL.
37%
33°C
$59 KL.
19%
34°C
$25 KL.
3%
35°C
$0 KL.
5%
36°C or higher
$117 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow over southern China is the main driver moderating temperatures ahead of September 11, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a 25–31°C range under mainly fine, dry daytime conditions and north-to-northeast winds of force 4–5. Recent observations show daytime highs near 31–32°C, while model consensus and historical September baselines support a peak in the low 30s rather than extremes. Close market-implied odds around 31–33°C reflect uncertainty in exact afternoon heating tied to variable cloud cover, wind strength, and any late-day showers, with fresh HKO updates and regional model runs expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$770Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow over southern China is the main driver moderating temperatures ahead of September 11, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a 25–31°C range under mainly fine, dry daytime conditions and north-to-northeast winds of force 4–5. Recent observations show daytime highs near 31–32°C, while model consensus and historical September baselines support a peak in the low 30s rather than extremes. Close market-implied odds around 31–33°C reflect uncertainty in exact afternoon heating tied to variable cloud cover, wind strength, and any late-day showers, with fresh HKO updates and regional model runs expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$770Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Northeast monsoon flow over southern China is the main driver moderating temperatures ahead of September 11, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a 25–31°C range under mainly fine, dry daytime conditions and north-to-northeast winds of force 4–5. Recent observations show daytime highs near 31–32°C, while model consensus and historical September baselines support a peak in the low 30s rather than extremes. Close market-implied odds around 31–33°C reflect uncertainty in exact afternoon heating tied to variable cloud cover, wind strength, and any late-day showers, with fresh HKO updates and regional model runs expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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