Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological authorities and global models point to a peak temperature of 27°C in Chengdu on September 9, driven by the arrival of cooler northerly air and widespread precipitation that has suppressed daytime heating. Persistent cloud cover, moderate northeast winds, and rainfall totals expected in the moderate-to-heavy range have limited solar radiation and kept surface temperatures from climbing higher, aligning with the market's near-certain implied probability. Historical September averages near 26–28°C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors the lower end of that range. A sudden clearing of skies or weaker-than-expected winds could allow brief warming toward 28°C, though model consensus shows limited scope for such shifts before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
27°C 98.0%
24°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$85,547 KL.
$85,547 KL.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
98%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 98.0%
24°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$85,547 KL.
$85,547 KL.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
98%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological authorities and global models point to a peak temperature of 27°C in Chengdu on September 9, driven by the arrival of cooler northerly air and widespread precipitation that has suppressed daytime heating. Persistent cloud cover, moderate northeast winds, and rainfall totals expected in the moderate-to-heavy range have limited solar radiation and kept surface temperatures from climbing higher, aligning with the market's near-certain implied probability. Historical September averages near 26–28°C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors the lower end of that range. A sudden clearing of skies or weaker-than-expected winds could allow brief warming toward 28°C, though model consensus shows limited scope for such shifts before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp