**Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office, Yr.no, and Tutiempo indicate a mostly sunny spring day in Buenos Aires on September 10 with light northeast to east winds and a daytime high near 17–19°C, supporting the market's clustering around 20–22°C amid model uncertainty and resolution on the official station maximum.** Early spring conditions feature increasing solar insolation and a stable high-pressure pattern that limits cloud cover and allows modest warming, though recent cooler-than-average September readings (with prior highs of 17–22°C) and easterly flow temper expectations. Traders appear to price in slight upside from afternoon heating or station-specific measurements, with 21°C leading at 41% implied probability due to the narrow range of plausible outcomes near the seasonal norm and low precipitation risk. Updated model runs or morning observations could shift probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 10?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 10?
21°C 41%
22°C 27%
20°C 17%
23°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
17%
21°C
41%
22°C
27%
23°C
12%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
2%
21°C 41%
22°C 27%
20°C 17%
23°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
15°C or below
$129 KL.
<1%
16°C
$117 KL.
<1%
17°C
$54 KL.
1%
18°C
$14 KL.
3%
19°C
$138 KL.
6%
20°C
$747 KL.
17%
21°C
$752 KL.
41%
22°C
$737 KL.
27%
23°C
$221 KL.
12%
24°C
$96 KL.
2%
25°C or higher
$36 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office, Yr.no, and Tutiempo indicate a mostly sunny spring day in Buenos Aires on September 10 with light northeast to east winds and a daytime high near 17–19°C, supporting the market's clustering around 20–22°C amid model uncertainty and resolution on the official station maximum.**
Early spring conditions feature increasing solar insolation and a stable high-pressure pattern that limits cloud cover and allows modest warming, though recent cooler-than-average September readings (with prior highs of 17–22°C) and easterly flow temper expectations. Traders appear to price in slight upside from afternoon heating or station-specific measurements, with 21°C leading at 41% implied probability due to the narrow range of plausible outcomes near the seasonal norm and low precipitation risk. Updated model runs or morning observations could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,040Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 8:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office, Yr.no, and Tutiempo indicate a mostly sunny spring day in Buenos Aires on September 10 with light northeast to east winds and a daytime high near 17–19°C, supporting the market's clustering around 20–22°C amid model uncertainty and resolution on the official station maximum.**
Early spring conditions feature increasing solar insolation and a stable high-pressure pattern that limits cloud cover and allows modest warming, though recent cooler-than-average September readings (with prior highs of 17–22°C) and easterly flow temper expectations. Traders appear to price in slight upside from afternoon heating or station-specific measurements, with 21°C leading at 41% implied probability due to the narrow range of plausible outcomes near the seasonal norm and low precipitation risk. Updated model runs or morning observations could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,040Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 8:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office, Yr.no, and Tutiempo indicate a mostly sunny spring day in Buenos Aires on September 10 with light northeast to east winds and a daytime high near 17–19°C, supporting the market's clustering around 20–22°C amid model uncertainty and resolution on the official station maximum.** Early spring conditions feature increasing solar insolation and a stable high-pressure pattern that limits cloud cover and allows modest warming, though recent cooler-than-average September readings (with prior highs of 17–22°C) and easterly flow temper expectations. Traders appear to price in slight upside from afternoon heating or station-specific measurements, with 21°C leading at 41% implied probability due to the narrow range of plausible outcomes near the seasonal norm and low precipitation risk. Updated model runs or morning observations could shift probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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