**Forecast models from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), ECMWF, and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 9–11°C for Buenos Aires on September 9, 2026, driven by moderating northerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight.** Earlier in the month, a polar air mass produced lows as cold as 2.4°C on September 6, but recent observations show a warming trend with daytime highs climbing toward 16–18°C and reduced cold advection. Key variables include light winds (3–5 m/s), dew points around 8–10°C, and minimal precipitation, which favor temperatures clustering in the upper single digits to low double digits rather than deeper cold. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds assigns the highest probability (46%) to 5°C or below, consistent with lingering model spread and the potential for localized cooling in suburban areas, while probabilities taper for outcomes above 10°C. Updated model runs and official SMN briefings through the morning will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 9?
7°C 27%
8°C 27%
9°C 27%
6°C 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 9, 2026
5°C or below
47%
6°C
26%
7°C
27%
8°C
27%
9°C
27%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C or higher
<1%
7°C 27%
8°C 27%
9°C 27%
6°C 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 9, 2026
5°C or below
$239 KL.
47%
6°C
$0 KL.
26%
7°C
$0 KL.
27%
8°C
$0 KL.
27%
9°C
$0 KL.
27%
10°C
$97 KL.
<1%
11°C
$146 KL.
1%
12°C
$106 KL.
<1%
13°C
$276 KL.
1%
14°C
$96 KL.
1%
15°C or higher
$168 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), ECMWF, and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 9–11°C for Buenos Aires on September 9, 2026, driven by moderating northerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight.** Earlier in the month, a polar air mass produced lows as cold as 2.4°C on September 6, but recent observations show a warming trend with daytime highs climbing toward 16–18°C and reduced cold advection. Key variables include light winds (3–5 m/s), dew points around 8–10°C, and minimal precipitation, which favor temperatures clustering in the upper single digits to low double digits rather than deeper cold. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds assigns the highest probability (46%) to 5°C or below, consistent with lingering model spread and the potential for localized cooling in suburban areas, while probabilities taper for outcomes above 10°C. Updated model runs and official SMN briefings through the morning will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,128Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), ECMWF, and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 9–11°C for Buenos Aires on September 9, 2026, driven by moderating northerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight.** Earlier in the month, a polar air mass produced lows as cold as 2.4°C on September 6, but recent observations show a warming trend with daytime highs climbing toward 16–18°C and reduced cold advection. Key variables include light winds (3–5 m/s), dew points around 8–10°C, and minimal precipitation, which favor temperatures clustering in the upper single digits to low double digits rather than deeper cold. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds assigns the highest probability (46%) to 5°C or below, consistent with lingering model spread and the potential for localized cooling in suburban areas, while probabilities taper for outcomes above 10°C. Updated model runs and official SMN briefings through the morning will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,128Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), ECMWF, and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 9–11°C for Buenos Aires on September 9, 2026, driven by moderating northerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight.** Earlier in the month, a polar air mass produced lows as cold as 2.4°C on September 6, but recent observations show a warming trend with daytime highs climbing toward 16–18°C and reduced cold advection. Key variables include light winds (3–5 m/s), dew points around 8–10°C, and minimal precipitation, which favor temperatures clustering in the upper single digits to low double digits rather than deeper cold. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds assigns the highest probability (46%) to 5°C or below, consistent with lingering model spread and the potential for localized cooling in suburban areas, while probabilities taper for outcomes above 10°C. Updated model runs and official SMN briefings through the morning will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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