Northeast monsoon onset and easterly winds of 3–4, locally 5, are the dominant drivers moderating Hong Kong’s September 9 maximum, with official forecasts centering on 27–31 °C amid partial sunshine and isolated showers. These conditions suppress peak heating relative to the prior day’s hotter setup while limiting intense solar insolation through increased cloud cover and brief evaporative cooling. Model consensus and climatological September baselines near 31 °C underpin the tight 30–31 °C market split, yet small differences in shower timing or wind strength could shift the daily high by 1 °C. Traders weigh the low rain probability and steady steering flow against residual uncertainty in localized temperature maxima.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
31°C 40%
30°C 37%
32°C 11%
29°C 8%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
37%
31°C
40%
32°C
11%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 40%
30°C 37%
32°C 11%
29°C 8%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
37%
31°C
40%
32°C
11%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Northeast monsoon onset and easterly winds of 3–4, locally 5, are the dominant drivers moderating Hong Kong’s September 9 maximum, with official forecasts centering on 27–31 °C amid partial sunshine and isolated showers. These conditions suppress peak heating relative to the prior day’s hotter setup while limiting intense solar insolation through increased cloud cover and brief evaporative cooling. Model consensus and climatological September baselines near 31 °C underpin the tight 30–31 °C market split, yet small differences in shower timing or wind strength could shift the daily high by 1 °C. Traders weigh the low rain probability and steady steering flow against residual uncertainty in localized temperature maxima.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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