Current short-range model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional guidance supports peak temperatures of 31–33 °C on 8 September, with 32 °C holding the highest market-implied probability. Subtropical ridge influence and light easterly flow favor modest diurnal heating, while scattered showers and increasing low-level moisture from an approaching South China Sea trough limit extreme warming. Model spread arises mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing during the transition toward northeast monsoon conditions. Updated Hong Kong Observatory guidance and 12–18 UTC model runs expected over the next 48 hours will narrow the 31–33 °C window ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 8?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 8?
32°C 37%
33°C 32%
31°C 15%
34°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 8, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
15%
32°C
37%
33°C
32%
34°C
11%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 37%
33°C 32%
31°C 15%
34°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 8, 2026
27°C or below
$210 KL.
<1%
28°C
$243 KL.
1%
29°C
$180 KL.
1%
30°C
$27 KL.
4%
31°C
$0 KL.
15%
32°C
$0 KL.
37%
33°C
$515 KL.
32%
34°C
$55 KL.
11%
35°C
$0 KL.
3%
36°C
$35 KL.
2%
37°C or higher
$115 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional guidance supports peak temperatures of 31–33 °C on 8 September, with 32 °C holding the highest market-implied probability. Subtropical ridge influence and light easterly flow favor modest diurnal heating, while scattered showers and increasing low-level moisture from an approaching South China Sea trough limit extreme warming. Model spread arises mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing during the transition toward northeast monsoon conditions. Updated Hong Kong Observatory guidance and 12–18 UTC model runs expected over the next 48 hours will narrow the 31–33 °C window ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,178Ngày kết thúc
Sep 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional guidance supports peak temperatures of 31–33 °C on 8 September, with 32 °C holding the highest market-implied probability. Subtropical ridge influence and light easterly flow favor modest diurnal heating, while scattered showers and increasing low-level moisture from an approaching South China Sea trough limit extreme warming. Model spread arises mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing during the transition toward northeast monsoon conditions. Updated Hong Kong Observatory guidance and 12–18 UTC model runs expected over the next 48 hours will narrow the 31–33 °C window ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$1,178Ngày kết thúc
Sep 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional guidance supports peak temperatures of 31–33 °C on 8 September, with 32 °C holding the highest market-implied probability. Subtropical ridge influence and light easterly flow favor modest diurnal heating, while scattered showers and increasing low-level moisture from an approaching South China Sea trough limit extreme warming. Model spread arises mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing during the transition toward northeast monsoon conditions. Updated Hong Kong Observatory guidance and 12–18 UTC model runs expected over the next 48 hours will narrow the 31–33 °C window ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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