**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a high near 28–29°C for Incheon on September 6 under clear skies, moderate northeast winds, and dry conditions.** This consensus drives the market-implied odds, with 29°C leading at 43.5% and 30°C close behind at 38%, reflecting minor differences in how models resolve peak afternoon heating or slight station variations between Seoul and Incheon. Recent days have featured above-average highs near 29–30°C amid stable high pressure, with no significant frontal activity or cloud cover expected to moderate temperatures. Historical September baselines average lower (around 25–27°C), supporting the current elevated outlook, though ensemble spreads allow for a possible 28°C or 30–31°C outcome depending on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Updated KMA guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 6?
29°C 44%
30°C 39%
28°C 14%
31°C 6%
$11,687 KL.
$11,687 KL.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
14%
29°C
44%
30°C
39%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
3%
29°C 44%
30°C 39%
28°C 14%
31°C 6%
$11,687 KL.
$11,687 KL.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
14%
29°C
44%
30°C
39%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a high near 28–29°C for Incheon on September 6 under clear skies, moderate northeast winds, and dry conditions.** This consensus drives the market-implied odds, with 29°C leading at 43.5% and 30°C close behind at 38%, reflecting minor differences in how models resolve peak afternoon heating or slight station variations between Seoul and Incheon. Recent days have featured above-average highs near 29–30°C amid stable high pressure, with no significant frontal activity or cloud cover expected to moderate temperatures. Historical September baselines average lower (around 25–27°C), supporting the current elevated outlook, though ensemble spreads allow for a possible 28°C or 30–31°C outcome depending on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Updated KMA guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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