Recent forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate an expected overnight low near 19–21°C for Incheon on September 6 amid northeasterly flow and clear to partly cloudy conditions, consistent with early-September climatology where daily minima average around 18–20°C. Trader emphasis on the 14°C-or-below outcome at 50% implied probability appears driven by model spread in boundary-layer cooling under variable wind speeds and potential for clearer skies accelerating radiative losses, alongside the market’s aggregation of uncertainty in short-range guidance this far ahead. Key upcoming inputs include the next ECMWF and KMA runs plus any revisions to steering patterns that could shift the minimum by several degrees.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 6?
14°C or below 100%
22°C 32%
20°C 26%
21°C 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
14°C or below
100%
15°C
23%
16°C
24%
17°C
23%
18°C
23%
19°C
21%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
32%
23°C
23%
24°C or higher
2%
14°C or below 100%
22°C 32%
20°C 26%
21°C 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
14°C or below
$0 KL.
100%
15°C
$0 KL.
23%
16°C
$0 KL.
24%
17°C
$0 KL.
23%
18°C
$0 KL.
23%
19°C
$0 KL.
21%
20°C
$0 KL.
26%
21°C
$0 KL.
26%
22°C
$0 KL.
32%
23°C
$0 KL.
23%
24°C or higher
$0 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate an expected overnight low near 19–21°C for Incheon on September 6 amid northeasterly flow and clear to partly cloudy conditions, consistent with early-September climatology where daily minima average around 18–20°C. Trader emphasis on the 14°C-or-below outcome at 50% implied probability appears driven by model spread in boundary-layer cooling under variable wind speeds and potential for clearer skies accelerating radiative losses, alongside the market’s aggregation of uncertainty in short-range guidance this far ahead. Key upcoming inputs include the next ECMWF and KMA runs plus any revisions to steering patterns that could shift the minimum by several degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate an expected overnight low near 19–21°C for Incheon on September 6 amid northeasterly flow and clear to partly cloudy conditions, consistent with early-September climatology where daily minima average around 18–20°C. Trader emphasis on the 14°C-or-below outcome at 50% implied probability appears driven by model spread in boundary-layer cooling under variable wind speeds and potential for clearer skies accelerating radiative losses, alongside the market’s aggregation of uncertainty in short-range guidance this far ahead. Key upcoming inputs include the next ECMWF and KMA runs plus any revisions to steering patterns that could shift the minimum by several degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate an expected overnight low near 19–21°C for Incheon on September 6 amid northeasterly flow and clear to partly cloudy conditions, consistent with early-September climatology where daily minima average around 18–20°C. Trader emphasis on the 14°C-or-below outcome at 50% implied probability appears driven by model spread in boundary-layer cooling under variable wind speeds and potential for clearer skies accelerating radiative losses, alongside the market’s aggregation of uncertainty in short-range guidance this far ahead. Key upcoming inputs include the next ECMWF and KMA runs plus any revisions to steering patterns that could shift the minimum by several degrees.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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