Current forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate overnight lows near 20–22°C for Incheon on September 4, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds on those outcomes. Clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds promote radiative cooling after sunset, while dew points around 18–19°C and light winds limit further drops below 20°C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to exact timing of peak cooling near dawn and any minor cloud intrusions. This aligns closely with climatological September averages of roughly 19–21°C lows at the station, leaving limited room for outliers without a shift in high-pressure dominance or wind patterns ahead of final model runs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 4?
22°C 36%
21°C 32%
20°C 32%
23°C 18%
15°C or below
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
9%
18°C
5%
19°C
7%
20°C
32%
21°C
32%
22°C
36%
23°C
18%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
22°C 36%
21°C 32%
20°C 32%
23°C 18%
15°C or below
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
9%
18°C
5%
19°C
7%
20°C
32%
21°C
32%
22°C
36%
23°C
18%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate overnight lows near 20–22°C for Incheon on September 4, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds on those outcomes. Clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds promote radiative cooling after sunset, while dew points around 18–19°C and light winds limit further drops below 20°C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to exact timing of peak cooling near dawn and any minor cloud intrusions. This aligns closely with climatological September averages of roughly 19–21°C lows at the station, leaving limited room for outliers without a shift in high-pressure dominance or wind patterns ahead of final model runs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp