Recent official forecasts for Istanbul on September 6 indicate mostly sunny skies with highs centered in the 29–32°C range under high pressure and light northerly winds. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS shows minor spreads due to uncertainties in daytime boundary-layer heating, sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus, and exact cloud timing, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, but current stable anticyclonic conditions favor values above the mean. The closely matched market-implied odds around 28–32°C reflect this genuine forecast variability ahead of final observational data from local stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 6?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 6?
29°C 37%
31°C 36%
32°C 36%
28°C 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
5%
26°C
7%
27°C
14%
28°C
20%
29°C
37%
30°C
19%
31°C
36%
32°C
36%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
4%
29°C 37%
31°C 36%
32°C 36%
28°C 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
$0 KL.
5%
26°C
$20 KL.
7%
27°C
$5 KL.
14%
28°C
$5 KL.
20%
29°C
$0 KL.
37%
30°C
$78 KL.
19%
31°C
$83 KL.
36%
32°C
$0 KL.
36%
33°C
$0 KL.
5%
34°C
$0 KL.
4%
35°C or higher
$0 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Istanbul on September 6 indicate mostly sunny skies with highs centered in the 29–32°C range under high pressure and light northerly winds. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS shows minor spreads due to uncertainties in daytime boundary-layer heating, sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus, and exact cloud timing, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, but current stable anticyclonic conditions favor values above the mean. The closely matched market-implied odds around 28–32°C reflect this genuine forecast variability ahead of final observational data from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$191Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Istanbul on September 6 indicate mostly sunny skies with highs centered in the 29–32°C range under high pressure and light northerly winds. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS shows minor spreads due to uncertainties in daytime boundary-layer heating, sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus, and exact cloud timing, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, but current stable anticyclonic conditions favor values above the mean. The closely matched market-implied odds around 28–32°C reflect this genuine forecast variability ahead of final observational data from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$191Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts for Istanbul on September 6 indicate mostly sunny skies with highs centered in the 29–32°C range under high pressure and light northerly winds. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS shows minor spreads due to uncertainties in daytime boundary-layer heating, sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus, and exact cloud timing, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, but current stable anticyclonic conditions favor values above the mean. The closely matched market-implied odds around 28–32°C reflect this genuine forecast variability ahead of final observational data from local stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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