**Current NWS and model consensus point to a minimum temperature in the low 60s°F for New York City on September 6, driven by clear skies overnight, light northeast winds, and radiational cooling following a daytime high near 75–76°F.** Northeast flow is advecting cooler maritime air, with dew points dropping into the mid-50s supporting efficient heat loss after sunset. Historical September 6 averages near 64.5°F provide context, but recent model runs show slightly below-normal readings. Market-implied odds favoring 66–67°F (48.5%) and 64–65°F (33.5%) reflect trader caution around potential forecast adjustments or station-specific readings, while lower bins capture tail risks from stronger cooling or measurement variance. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will likely refine these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on September 6?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 6?
66-67°F 49%
64-65°F 34%
68-69°F 20%
70-71°F 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
13%
64-65°F
34%
66-67°F
49%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 49%
64-65°F 34%
68-69°F 20%
70-71°F 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
57°F or below
$0 KL.
1%
58-59°F
$3 KL.
3%
60-61°F
$0 KL.
5%
62-63°F
$0 KL.
13%
64-65°F
$0 KL.
34%
66-67°F
$38 KL.
49%
68-69°F
$0 KL.
20%
70-71°F
$0 KL.
20%
72-73°F
$0 KL.
6%
74-75°F
$0 KL.
1%
76°F or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current NWS and model consensus point to a minimum temperature in the low 60s°F for New York City on September 6, driven by clear skies overnight, light northeast winds, and radiational cooling following a daytime high near 75–76°F.**
Northeast flow is advecting cooler maritime air, with dew points dropping into the mid-50s supporting efficient heat loss after sunset. Historical September 6 averages near 64.5°F provide context, but recent model runs show slightly below-normal readings. Market-implied odds favoring 66–67°F (48.5%) and 64–65°F (33.5%) reflect trader caution around potential forecast adjustments or station-specific readings, while lower bins capture tail risks from stronger cooling or measurement variance. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$41Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current NWS and model consensus point to a minimum temperature in the low 60s°F for New York City on September 6, driven by clear skies overnight, light northeast winds, and radiational cooling following a daytime high near 75–76°F.**
Northeast flow is advecting cooler maritime air, with dew points dropping into the mid-50s supporting efficient heat loss after sunset. Historical September 6 averages near 64.5°F provide context, but recent model runs show slightly below-normal readings. Market-implied odds favoring 66–67°F (48.5%) and 64–65°F (33.5%) reflect trader caution around potential forecast adjustments or station-specific readings, while lower bins capture tail risks from stronger cooling or measurement variance. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$41Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Current NWS and model consensus point to a minimum temperature in the low 60s°F for New York City on September 6, driven by clear skies overnight, light northeast winds, and radiational cooling following a daytime high near 75–76°F.** Northeast flow is advecting cooler maritime air, with dew points dropping into the mid-50s supporting efficient heat loss after sunset. Historical September 6 averages near 64.5°F provide context, but recent model runs show slightly below-normal readings. Market-implied odds favoring 66–67°F (48.5%) and 64–65°F (33.5%) reflect trader caution around potential forecast adjustments or station-specific readings, while lower bins capture tail risks from stronger cooling or measurement variance. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will likely refine these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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