**Recent forecasts for Ankara on September 4, 2026, cluster tightly around a daily maximum of 28–29°C under stable high pressure, sunny skies, and light northeasterly winds.** Multiple sources, including Yr.no, the Met Office, and local Turkish outlets, indicate afternoon peaks near 28–29°C after morning lows around 15–17°C, with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market’s near-even split between 28°C (41%) and 29°C (38%), reflecting model consensus on modest cooling from the prior days’ 30–31°C readings. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in forecast timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and localized effects around the urban station network. A slightly stronger northerly breeze or earlier afternoon cloud build-up could cap the high at 28°C, while clearer, calmer conditions favor 29°C. Historical September normals for Ankara (~27°C average high) provide context, but current guidance shows a modest warm anomaly persisting. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings expected overnight will likely resolve the narrow remaining spread before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on September 4?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 4?
28°C 41%
29°C 37%
27°C 14%
30°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
14%
28°C
41%
29°C
37%
30°C
9%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 41%
29°C 37%
27°C 14%
30°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
24°C or below
$310 KL.
<1%
25°C
$135 KL.
<1%
26°C
$319 KL.
<1%
27°C
$864 KL.
14%
28°C
$967 KL.
41%
29°C
$2,303 KL.
37%
30°C
$542 KL.
9%
31°C
$240 KL.
1%
32°C
$189 KL.
<1%
33°C
$271 KL.
<1%
34°C or higher
$277 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Ankara on September 4, 2026, cluster tightly around a daily maximum of 28–29°C under stable high pressure, sunny skies, and light northeasterly winds.** Multiple sources, including Yr.no, the Met Office, and local Turkish outlets, indicate afternoon peaks near 28–29°C after morning lows around 15–17°C, with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market’s near-even split between 28°C (41%) and 29°C (38%), reflecting model consensus on modest cooling from the prior days’ 30–31°C readings.
Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in forecast timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and localized effects around the urban station network. A slightly stronger northerly breeze or earlier afternoon cloud build-up could cap the high at 28°C, while clearer, calmer conditions favor 29°C. Historical September normals for Ankara (~27°C average high) provide context, but current guidance shows a modest warm anomaly persisting. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings expected overnight will likely resolve the narrow remaining spread before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$6,417Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Ankara on September 4, 2026, cluster tightly around a daily maximum of 28–29°C under stable high pressure, sunny skies, and light northeasterly winds.** Multiple sources, including Yr.no, the Met Office, and local Turkish outlets, indicate afternoon peaks near 28–29°C after morning lows around 15–17°C, with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market’s near-even split between 28°C (41%) and 29°C (38%), reflecting model consensus on modest cooling from the prior days’ 30–31°C readings.
Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in forecast timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and localized effects around the urban station network. A slightly stronger northerly breeze or earlier afternoon cloud build-up could cap the high at 28°C, while clearer, calmer conditions favor 29°C. Historical September normals for Ankara (~27°C average high) provide context, but current guidance shows a modest warm anomaly persisting. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings expected overnight will likely resolve the narrow remaining spread before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$6,417Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for Ankara on September 4, 2026, cluster tightly around a daily maximum of 28–29°C under stable high pressure, sunny skies, and light northeasterly winds.** Multiple sources, including Yr.no, the Met Office, and local Turkish outlets, indicate afternoon peaks near 28–29°C after morning lows around 15–17°C, with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market’s near-even split between 28°C (41%) and 29°C (38%), reflecting model consensus on modest cooling from the prior days’ 30–31°C readings. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in forecast timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and localized effects around the urban station network. A slightly stronger northerly breeze or earlier afternoon cloud build-up could cap the high at 28°C, while clearer, calmer conditions favor 29°C. Historical September normals for Ankara (~27°C average high) provide context, but current guidance shows a modest warm anomaly persisting. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings expected overnight will likely resolve the narrow remaining spread before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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