**Forecast models from multiple sources, including WeatherBug, easeweather, and Yr.no, converge on a high of 29–30 °C for Ankara on September 3 under clear to mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and low humidity.** This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 30 °C at 55.5 %, followed by 31 °C (23.5 %) and 29 °C (18.5 %). Early-September climatology for the inland continental site shows average highs near 27–29 °C, so the current pattern reflects typical seasonal solar heating without strong advection or cloud cover to suppress temperatures. Stable high pressure and minimal precipitation risk through the short term support the tight clustering around 30 °C, with limited upside for 31 °C or higher absent a warmer model run. Updated forecasts from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on September 3?
30°C 56%
29°C 21%
31°C 21%
28°C 4%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
21%
30°C
56%
31°C
21%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 56%
29°C 21%
31°C 21%
28°C 4%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
21%
30°C
56%
31°C
21%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from multiple sources, including WeatherBug, easeweather, and Yr.no, converge on a high of 29–30 °C for Ankara on September 3 under clear to mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and low humidity.** This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 30 °C at 55.5 %, followed by 31 °C (23.5 %) and 29 °C (18.5 %). Early-September climatology for the inland continental site shows average highs near 27–29 °C, so the current pattern reflects typical seasonal solar heating without strong advection or cloud cover to suppress temperatures. Stable high pressure and minimal precipitation risk through the short term support the tight clustering around 30 °C, with limited upside for 31 °C or higher absent a warmer model run. Updated forecasts from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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