Recent forecasts from multiple models project overnight lows near 16°C in Ankara on September 4 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–17°C. Radiative cooling overnight, aided by low humidity and minimal cloud cover, will drive the minimum near dawn, with dew points around 5–10°C limiting further drops. Historical September averages for the city hover near 14–15°C at night, but current high-pressure dominance and dry air mass are elevating the floor slightly above climatology. Traders are weighing minor model disagreements on exact wind speeds and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the low by 1–2°C, with resolution hinging on official station readings at the coolest hour.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Ankara on September 4?
12°C 88%
13°C 88%
14°C 88%
17°C 88%
11°C or below
69%
12°C
88%
13°C
88%
14°C
88%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
88%
18°C
2%
19°C
17%
20°C
15%
21°C or higher
58%
12°C 88%
13°C 88%
14°C 88%
17°C 88%
11°C or below
69%
12°C
88%
13°C
88%
14°C
88%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
88%
18°C
2%
19°C
17%
20°C
15%
21°C or higher
58%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models project overnight lows near 16°C in Ankara on September 4 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–17°C. Radiative cooling overnight, aided by low humidity and minimal cloud cover, will drive the minimum near dawn, with dew points around 5–10°C limiting further drops. Historical September averages for the city hover near 14–15°C at night, but current high-pressure dominance and dry air mass are elevating the floor slightly above climatology. Traders are weighing minor model disagreements on exact wind speeds and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the low by 1–2°C, with resolution hinging on official station readings at the coolest hour.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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