**Current model consensus from multiple sources points to a maximum temperature of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 4, 2026, driven by a persistent moist, overcast air mass with westerly flow.** Forecasts from sources such as Yr.no, WeatherBug, and GFS-based outlooks show highs clustered around 21°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with moderate southwest-to-west winds of 4–7 m/s and a chance of light rain or showers that further limit daytime heating. This setup aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where typical maxima hover near 20–22°C amid transitional autumn patterns. The market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C (41.5%), 22°C (28.5%), and 20°C (20.5%) reflects this tight model agreement, while lower probabilities for 23°C+ or sub-20°C outcomes capture residual uncertainty in exact cloud cover and precipitation timing. No significant forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping the distribution stable ahead of final verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 4?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 4?
21°C 42%
20°C 25%
22°C 20%
23°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
18°C or below
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
25%
21°C
42%
22°C
20%
23°C
11%
24°C
4%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
21°C 42%
20°C 25%
22°C 20%
23°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
18°C or below
$20 KL.
3%
19°C
$0 KL.
6%
20°C
$151 KL.
25%
21°C
$264 KL.
42%
22°C
$196 KL.
20%
23°C
$150 KL.
11%
24°C
$90 KL.
4%
25°C
$0 KL.
3%
26°C
$0 KL.
2%
27°C
$0 KL.
2%
28°C or higher
$0 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current model consensus from multiple sources points to a maximum temperature of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 4, 2026, driven by a persistent moist, overcast air mass with westerly flow.**
Forecasts from sources such as Yr.no, WeatherBug, and GFS-based outlooks show highs clustered around 21°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with moderate southwest-to-west winds of 4–7 m/s and a chance of light rain or showers that further limit daytime heating. This setup aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where typical maxima hover near 20–22°C amid transitional autumn patterns. The market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C (41.5%), 22°C (28.5%), and 20°C (20.5%) reflects this tight model agreement, while lower probabilities for 23°C+ or sub-20°C outcomes capture residual uncertainty in exact cloud cover and precipitation timing. No significant forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping the distribution stable ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$830Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current model consensus from multiple sources points to a maximum temperature of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 4, 2026, driven by a persistent moist, overcast air mass with westerly flow.**
Forecasts from sources such as Yr.no, WeatherBug, and GFS-based outlooks show highs clustered around 21°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with moderate southwest-to-west winds of 4–7 m/s and a chance of light rain or showers that further limit daytime heating. This setup aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where typical maxima hover near 20–22°C amid transitional autumn patterns. The market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C (41.5%), 22°C (28.5%), and 20°C (20.5%) reflects this tight model agreement, while lower probabilities for 23°C+ or sub-20°C outcomes capture residual uncertainty in exact cloud cover and precipitation timing. No significant forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping the distribution stable ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$830Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Current model consensus from multiple sources points to a maximum temperature of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 4, 2026, driven by a persistent moist, overcast air mass with westerly flow.** Forecasts from sources such as Yr.no, WeatherBug, and GFS-based outlooks show highs clustered around 21°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with moderate southwest-to-west winds of 4–7 m/s and a chance of light rain or showers that further limit daytime heating. This setup aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where typical maxima hover near 20–22°C amid transitional autumn patterns. The market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C (41.5%), 22°C (28.5%), and 20°C (20.5%) reflects this tight model agreement, while lower probabilities for 23°C+ or sub-20°C outcomes capture residual uncertainty in exact cloud cover and precipitation timing. No significant forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping the distribution stable ahead of final verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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