Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Istanbul will experience mostly clear to partly cloudy skies on September 4 under a stable high-pressure regime with moderate northeast winds, producing a daytime maximum near 27–28°C. This atmospheric setup—typical for early September as summer wanes—limits moisture advection and convective development, anchoring trader consensus on the 26°C and 27°C outcomes at over 80% combined implied probability. Minor model spread around peak timing and local urban heat effects introduces limited upside risk to 28°C or higher, while cooler realizations remain unlikely absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the date will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 4?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 4?
26°C 55%
27°C 29%
25°C 10%
28°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
10%
26°C
55%
27°C
29%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 55%
27°C 29%
25°C 10%
28°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
22°C or below
$0 KL.
<1%
23°C
$185 KL.
1%
24°C
$170 KL.
3%
25°C
$506 KL.
10%
26°C
$390 KL.
55%
27°C
$480 KL.
29%
28°C
$87 KL.
4%
29°C
$178 KL.
1%
30°C
$0 KL.
<1%
31°C
$0 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$11 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Istanbul will experience mostly clear to partly cloudy skies on September 4 under a stable high-pressure regime with moderate northeast winds, producing a daytime maximum near 27–28°C. This atmospheric setup—typical for early September as summer wanes—limits moisture advection and convective development, anchoring trader consensus on the 26°C and 27°C outcomes at over 80% combined implied probability. Minor model spread around peak timing and local urban heat effects introduces limited upside risk to 28°C or higher, while cooler realizations remain unlikely absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the date will provide the final inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,993Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Istanbul will experience mostly clear to partly cloudy skies on September 4 under a stable high-pressure regime with moderate northeast winds, producing a daytime maximum near 27–28°C. This atmospheric setup—typical for early September as summer wanes—limits moisture advection and convective development, anchoring trader consensus on the 26°C and 27°C outcomes at over 80% combined implied probability. Minor model spread around peak timing and local urban heat effects introduces limited upside risk to 28°C or higher, while cooler realizations remain unlikely absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the date will provide the final inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,993Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Istanbul will experience mostly clear to partly cloudy skies on September 4 under a stable high-pressure regime with moderate northeast winds, producing a daytime maximum near 27–28°C. This atmospheric setup—typical for early September as summer wanes—limits moisture advection and convective development, anchoring trader consensus on the 26°C and 27°C outcomes at over 80% combined implied probability. Minor model spread around peak timing and local urban heat effects introduces limited upside risk to 28°C or higher, while cooler realizations remain unlikely absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the date will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp