Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a highest temperature near 30–33°C on September 6 in Guangzhou, consistent with the market’s concentration of probability around 31–33°C amid scattered showers and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Key variables include cloud cover and precipitation timing, which reduce solar insolation and cap peaks below historical averages of 32.7°C; humidity levels near 70–80% that moderate perceived warmth; light northerly winds steering moisture from the South China Sea; and potential model divergence on convective intensity. Thunderstorm development could suppress maxima toward 30°C or below, while clearer intervals might allow brief rises to 34–35°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these resolution thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 6?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 6?
32°C 31%
31°C 22%
33°C 20%
35°C 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
13%
30°C
13%
31°C
22%
32°C
31%
33°C
20%
34°C
6%
35°C
16%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 31%
31°C 22%
33°C 20%
35°C 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
$0 KL.
2%
27°C
$0 KL.
2%
28°C
$0 KL.
6%
29°C
$0 KL.
13%
30°C
$20 KL.
13%
31°C
$10 KL.
22%
32°C
$98 KL.
31%
33°C
$86 KL.
20%
34°C
$233 KL.
6%
35°C
$0 KL.
16%
36°C or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a highest temperature near 30–33°C on September 6 in Guangzhou, consistent with the market’s concentration of probability around 31–33°C amid scattered showers and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Key variables include cloud cover and precipitation timing, which reduce solar insolation and cap peaks below historical averages of 32.7°C; humidity levels near 70–80% that moderate perceived warmth; light northerly winds steering moisture from the South China Sea; and potential model divergence on convective intensity. Thunderstorm development could suppress maxima toward 30°C or below, while clearer intervals might allow brief rises to 34–35°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$447Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a highest temperature near 30–33°C on September 6 in Guangzhou, consistent with the market’s concentration of probability around 31–33°C amid scattered showers and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Key variables include cloud cover and precipitation timing, which reduce solar insolation and cap peaks below historical averages of 32.7°C; humidity levels near 70–80% that moderate perceived warmth; light northerly winds steering moisture from the South China Sea; and potential model divergence on convective intensity. Thunderstorm development could suppress maxima toward 30°C or below, while clearer intervals might allow brief rises to 34–35°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$447Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a highest temperature near 30–33°C on September 6 in Guangzhou, consistent with the market’s concentration of probability around 31–33°C amid scattered showers and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Key variables include cloud cover and precipitation timing, which reduce solar insolation and cap peaks below historical averages of 32.7°C; humidity levels near 70–80% that moderate perceived warmth; light northerly winds steering moisture from the South China Sea; and potential model divergence on convective intensity. Thunderstorm development could suppress maxima toward 30°C or below, while clearer intervals might allow brief rises to 34–35°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these resolution thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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