Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 6 show clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure pattern, supporting maximum temperatures near 26°C as the leading market outcome. Diminishing southeasterly flow reduces cooling advection while strong solar insolation during spring drives daytime heating, with models like GFS and ECMWF converging on peaks of 24–27°C depending on exact boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint profiles. Minor spreads in ensemble runs reflect uncertainty in afternoon wind shifts and localized orographic effects near Table Mountain, keeping 25–27°C probabilities closely bunched. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 6?
26°C 31%
27°C 23%
28°C 16%
25°C 16%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
5%
24°C
9%
25°C
16%
26°C
31%
27°C
23%
28°C
16%
29°C
9%
30°C
5%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
3%
26°C 31%
27°C 23%
28°C 16%
25°C 16%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
5%
24°C
9%
25°C
16%
26°C
31%
27°C
23%
28°C
16%
29°C
9%
30°C
5%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 6 show clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure pattern, supporting maximum temperatures near 26°C as the leading market outcome. Diminishing southeasterly flow reduces cooling advection while strong solar insolation during spring drives daytime heating, with models like GFS and ECMWF converging on peaks of 24–27°C depending on exact boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint profiles. Minor spreads in ensemble runs reflect uncertainty in afternoon wind shifts and localized orographic effects near Table Mountain, keeping 25–27°C probabilities closely bunched. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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