Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a maximum temperature of 19–20°C in Cape Town on September 4, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 46.5% for 20°C and 29% for 19°C. Strong southeasterly winds under clearing high pressure are expected to limit daytime warming after showers on September 3, consistent with typical spring patterns influenced by the Benguela Current. Updated runs show little model spread around these values, with 21°C at 16% reflecting minor upside potential if winds ease. Historical September averages near 18–19°C provide context for the current consensus, and traders appear to be weighting the latest official guidance ahead of any final adjustments on resolution day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 4?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 4?
20°C 47%
19°C 29%
21°C 18%
18°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
29%
20°C
47%
21°C
18%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 47%
19°C 29%
21°C 18%
18°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
14°C or below
$143 KL.
1%
15°C
$10 KL.
<1%
16°C
$255 KL.
<1%
17°C
$122 KL.
2%
18°C
$79 KL.
7%
19°C
$3,088 KL.
29%
20°C
$393 KL.
47%
21°C
$548 KL.
18%
22°C
$79 KL.
1%
23°C
$59 KL.
<1%
24°C or higher
$123 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a maximum temperature of 19–20°C in Cape Town on September 4, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 46.5% for 20°C and 29% for 19°C. Strong southeasterly winds under clearing high pressure are expected to limit daytime warming after showers on September 3, consistent with typical spring patterns influenced by the Benguela Current. Updated runs show little model spread around these values, with 21°C at 16% reflecting minor upside potential if winds ease. Historical September averages near 18–19°C provide context for the current consensus, and traders appear to be weighting the latest official guidance ahead of any final adjustments on resolution day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,900Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a maximum temperature of 19–20°C in Cape Town on September 4, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 46.5% for 20°C and 29% for 19°C. Strong southeasterly winds under clearing high pressure are expected to limit daytime warming after showers on September 3, consistent with typical spring patterns influenced by the Benguela Current. Updated runs show little model spread around these values, with 21°C at 16% reflecting minor upside potential if winds ease. Historical September averages near 18–19°C provide context for the current consensus, and traders appear to be weighting the latest official guidance ahead of any final adjustments on resolution day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,900Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a maximum temperature of 19–20°C in Cape Town on September 4, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 46.5% for 20°C and 29% for 19°C. Strong southeasterly winds under clearing high pressure are expected to limit daytime warming after showers on September 3, consistent with typical spring patterns influenced by the Benguela Current. Updated runs show little model spread around these values, with 21°C at 16% reflecting minor upside potential if winds ease. Historical September averages near 18–19°C provide context for the current consensus, and traders appear to be weighting the latest official guidance ahead of any final adjustments on resolution day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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