Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and the Met Office indicate a maximum of 15–16°C for Wellington on September 4 under northwest flow, with showers possible and gusty conditions limiting daytime warming. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, consistent with early-spring climatology where historical highs average near 12°C but current mild advection supports modest elevation. Trader positioning at 17–18°C as the leading outcomes reflects model consensus on peak readings near observation sites, tempered by uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing and wind effects on measured maxima. No major pattern shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this narrow range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on September 4?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 4?
18°C 51%
17°C 39%
19°C 5%
16°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
39%
18°C
51%
19°C
5%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 51%
17°C 39%
19°C 5%
16°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
12°C or below
$315 KL.
<1%
13°C
$400 KL.
<1%
14°C
$475 KL.
<1%
15°C
$509 KL.
2%
16°C
$1,059 KL.
5%
17°C
$469 KL.
39%
18°C
$3,547 KL.
51%
19°C
$736 KL.
5%
20°C
$290 KL.
2%
21°C
$123 KL.
<1%
22°C or higher
$299 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and the Met Office indicate a maximum of 15–16°C for Wellington on September 4 under northwest flow, with showers possible and gusty conditions limiting daytime warming. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, consistent with early-spring climatology where historical highs average near 12°C but current mild advection supports modest elevation. Trader positioning at 17–18°C as the leading outcomes reflects model consensus on peak readings near observation sites, tempered by uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing and wind effects on measured maxima. No major pattern shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,221Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and the Met Office indicate a maximum of 15–16°C for Wellington on September 4 under northwest flow, with showers possible and gusty conditions limiting daytime warming. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, consistent with early-spring climatology where historical highs average near 12°C but current mild advection supports modest elevation. Trader positioning at 17–18°C as the leading outcomes reflects model consensus on peak readings near observation sites, tempered by uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing and wind effects on measured maxima. No major pattern shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$8,221Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and the Met Office indicate a maximum of 15–16°C for Wellington on September 4 under northwest flow, with showers possible and gusty conditions limiting daytime warming. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, consistent with early-spring climatology where historical highs average near 12°C but current mild advection supports modest elevation. Trader positioning at 17–18°C as the leading outcomes reflects model consensus on peak readings near observation sites, tempered by uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing and wind effects on measured maxima. No major pattern shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this narrow range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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