Recent numerical weather prediction models converge on a peak temperature of 30–31°C for Shenzhen on September 6, driven by extensive cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorm activity that restricts solar heating. These conditions align with early-September climatology in the Pearl River Delta, where monsoon moisture and weak steering flow often cap daytime maxima near the 31°C monthly average. Light northerly winds further limit advection of warmer air. Latest forecast runs show minor spread between 30°C and 32°C depending on convective timing, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around the leading outcomes while leaving room for adjustment from final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 6?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 6?
31°C 36%
30°C 28%
32°C 16%
29°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
9%
30°C
28%
31°C
36%
32°C
16%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 36%
30°C 28%
32°C 16%
29°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
24°C or below
$140 KL.
<1%
25°C
$125 KL.
<1%
26°C
$140 KL.
<1%
27°C
$128 KL.
2%
28°C
$363 KL.
5%
29°C
$1,664 KL.
9%
30°C
$887 KL.
28%
31°C
$738 KL.
36%
32°C
$63 KL.
16%
33°C
$365 KL.
4%
34°C or higher
$265 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models converge on a peak temperature of 30–31°C for Shenzhen on September 6, driven by extensive cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorm activity that restricts solar heating. These conditions align with early-September climatology in the Pearl River Delta, where monsoon moisture and weak steering flow often cap daytime maxima near the 31°C monthly average. Light northerly winds further limit advection of warmer air. Latest forecast runs show minor spread between 30°C and 32°C depending on convective timing, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around the leading outcomes while leaving room for adjustment from final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,879Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models converge on a peak temperature of 30–31°C for Shenzhen on September 6, driven by extensive cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorm activity that restricts solar heating. These conditions align with early-September climatology in the Pearl River Delta, where monsoon moisture and weak steering flow often cap daytime maxima near the 31°C monthly average. Light northerly winds further limit advection of warmer air. Latest forecast runs show minor spread between 30°C and 32°C depending on convective timing, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around the leading outcomes while leaving room for adjustment from final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,879Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models converge on a peak temperature of 30–31°C for Shenzhen on September 6, driven by extensive cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorm activity that restricts solar heating. These conditions align with early-September climatology in the Pearl River Delta, where monsoon moisture and weak steering flow often cap daytime maxima near the 31°C monthly average. Light northerly winds further limit advection of warmer air. Latest forecast runs show minor spread between 30°C and 32°C depending on convective timing, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around the leading outcomes while leaving room for adjustment from final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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