Recent forecasts from sources including YR.no and WeatherBug converge on a Sunday high of 27–28 °C in Busan under persistent northeasterly winds of 13–17 mph, partly to mostly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk below 30 %. These conditions suppress daytime heating relative to calmer scenarios, keeping the market-implied distribution tightly clustered around 27–29 °C while capping upside at 30 °C. Model agreement remains high this close to the date, yet small differences in cloud timing or wind gusts can shift the daily maximum by 1 °C, explaining the spread among the three leading outcomes. Historical September baselines near 26–27 °C provide context, but traders are weighting the latest dynamical runs and local mesoscale adjustments most heavily ahead of any final model update.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Busan on September 6?
28°C 33%
29°C 25%
30°C 17%
27°C 15%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
10%
27°C
15%
28°C
33%
29°C
25%
30°C
17%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
28°C 33%
29°C 25%
30°C 17%
27°C 15%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
10%
27°C
15%
28°C
33%
29°C
25%
30°C
17%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including YR.no and WeatherBug converge on a Sunday high of 27–28 °C in Busan under persistent northeasterly winds of 13–17 mph, partly to mostly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk below 30 %. These conditions suppress daytime heating relative to calmer scenarios, keeping the market-implied distribution tightly clustered around 27–29 °C while capping upside at 30 °C. Model agreement remains high this close to the date, yet small differences in cloud timing or wind gusts can shift the daily maximum by 1 °C, explaining the spread among the three leading outcomes. Historical September baselines near 26–27 °C provide context, but traders are weighting the latest dynamical runs and local mesoscale adjustments most heavily ahead of any final model update.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp