Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models converge on a maximum temperature of 29–30°C in Shanghai on September 6, 2026, under partly cloudy to clearing skies with light northerly winds. This follows scattered rain on September 5 that limited solar heating, while high humidity and a subtropical high-pressure influence maintain warm conditions without significant advection of cooler air. Official guidance aligns closely with these outputs, placing the peak near the upper end of the typical early-September range. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering, with 30°C leading due to the balance of model consensus and historical analogs showing similar post-frontal warming patterns. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 6?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 6?
30°C 51%
29°C 28%
31°C 15%
28°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
28%
30°C
51%
31°C
15%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 51%
29°C 28%
31°C 15%
28°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
$231 KL.
<1%
26°C
$133 KL.
<1%
27°C
$1,463 KL.
2%
28°C
$1,506 KL.
4%
29°C
$568 KL.
28%
30°C
$1,156 KL.
51%
31°C
$1,009 KL.
15%
32°C
$589 KL.
2%
33°C
$191 KL.
<1%
34°C
$180 KL.
<1%
35°C or higher
$229 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models converge on a maximum temperature of 29–30°C in Shanghai on September 6, 2026, under partly cloudy to clearing skies with light northerly winds. This follows scattered rain on September 5 that limited solar heating, while high humidity and a subtropical high-pressure influence maintain warm conditions without significant advection of cooler air. Official guidance aligns closely with these outputs, placing the peak near the upper end of the typical early-September range. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering, with 30°C leading due to the balance of model consensus and historical analogs showing similar post-frontal warming patterns. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$7,256Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models converge on a maximum temperature of 29–30°C in Shanghai on September 6, 2026, under partly cloudy to clearing skies with light northerly winds. This follows scattered rain on September 5 that limited solar heating, while high humidity and a subtropical high-pressure influence maintain warm conditions without significant advection of cooler air. Official guidance aligns closely with these outputs, placing the peak near the upper end of the typical early-September range. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering, with 30°C leading due to the balance of model consensus and historical analogs showing similar post-frontal warming patterns. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$7,256Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models converge on a maximum temperature of 29–30°C in Shanghai on September 6, 2026, under partly cloudy to clearing skies with light northerly winds. This follows scattered rain on September 5 that limited solar heating, while high humidity and a subtropical high-pressure influence maintain warm conditions without significant advection of cooler air. Official guidance aligns closely with these outputs, placing the peak near the upper end of the typical early-September range. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering, with 30°C leading due to the balance of model consensus and historical analogs showing similar post-frontal warming patterns. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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