**Persistent monsoon rains and widespread cloud cover are the dominant factors anchoring trader expectations for Lucknow’s September 6 maximum near 30–31 °C.** Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and regional models show an active low-pressure trough feeding moisture from the Bay of Bengal, producing scattered to heavy thunderstorms and limited daytime heating. This setup typically suppresses peak temperatures 2–4 °C below the September climatological average of 32–34 °C. Recent days have already delivered above-normal rainfall across eastern Uttar Pradesh, further cooling surface conditions and maintaining high humidity that favors convective rather than clear-sky heating. With resolution hinging on the official India Meteorological Department maximum recorded at the Lucknow observatory, traders are closely watching the next 24-hour model runs and any updates to the monsoon trough position that could alter cloud timing or rainfall intensity.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
31°C 47%
30°C 28%
32°C 19%
29°C 7%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
28%
31°C
47%
32°C
19%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
2%
31°C 47%
30°C 28%
32°C 19%
29°C 7%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
28%
31°C
47%
32°C
19%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent monsoon rains and widespread cloud cover are the dominant factors anchoring trader expectations for Lucknow’s September 6 maximum near 30–31 °C.** Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and regional models show an active low-pressure trough feeding moisture from the Bay of Bengal, producing scattered to heavy thunderstorms and limited daytime heating. This setup typically suppresses peak temperatures 2–4 °C below the September climatological average of 32–34 °C. Recent days have already delivered above-normal rainfall across eastern Uttar Pradesh, further cooling surface conditions and maintaining high humidity that favors convective rather than clear-sky heating. With resolution hinging on the official India Meteorological Department maximum recorded at the Lucknow observatory, traders are closely watching the next 24-hour model runs and any updates to the monsoon trough position that could alter cloud timing or rainfall intensity.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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