**Official observations from the National Weather Service confirm a minimum temperature of 61°F at San Francisco International Airport on September 8, 2026, at 5:45 a.m. local time—five degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 56°F.** This reading, recorded under hazy conditions with light winds and no precipitation, aligns directly with the market's dominant 60–61°F outcome at 95.5% implied probability. Trader consensus reflects the authoritative climatological report from the primary station used for resolution, consistent with surrounding daily highs near 87°F and the absence of any cooler coastal or urban microclimate signals in preliminary data. The only realistic challenges would involve a late data revision or use of an alternate station showing a lower value, though historical patterns and model agreement make significant downward adjustments unlikely before final certification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in San Francisco on September 8?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 8?
60-61°F 96%
56-57°F 9%
54-55°F 6%
58-59°F 2%
$2,869 KL.
$2,869 KL.
Sep 8, 2026
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
No
60-61°F 96%
56-57°F 9%
54-55°F 6%
58-59°F 2%
$2,869 KL.
$2,869 KL.
Sep 8, 2026
49°F or below
$285 KL.
No
50-51°F
$178 KL.
No
52-53°F
$160 KL.
No
54-55°F
$83 KL.
No
56-57°F
$148 KL.
No
58-59°F
$374 KL.
No
60-61°F
$767 KL.
Yes
62-63°F
$64 KL.
No
64-65°F
$186 KL.
No
66-67°F
$293 KL.
No
68°F or higher
$330 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from the National Weather Service confirm a minimum temperature of 61°F at San Francisco International Airport on September 8, 2026, at 5:45 a.m. local time—five degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 56°F.** This reading, recorded under hazy conditions with light winds and no precipitation, aligns directly with the market's dominant 60–61°F outcome at 95.5% implied probability. Trader consensus reflects the authoritative climatological report from the primary station used for resolution, consistent with surrounding daily highs near 87°F and the absence of any cooler coastal or urban microclimate signals in preliminary data. The only realistic challenges would involve a late data revision or use of an alternate station showing a lower value, though historical patterns and model agreement make significant downward adjustments unlikely before final certification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 6, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,869Ngày kết thúc
Sep 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 6, 2026, 7:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from the National Weather Service confirm a minimum temperature of 61°F at San Francisco International Airport on September 8, 2026, at 5:45 a.m. local time—five degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 56°F.** This reading, recorded under hazy conditions with light winds and no precipitation, aligns directly with the market's dominant 60–61°F outcome at 95.5% implied probability. Trader consensus reflects the authoritative climatological report from the primary station used for resolution, consistent with surrounding daily highs near 87°F and the absence of any cooler coastal or urban microclimate signals in preliminary data. The only realistic challenges would involve a late data revision or use of an alternate station showing a lower value, though historical patterns and model agreement make significant downward adjustments unlikely before final certification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,869Ngày kết thúc
Sep 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 6, 2026, 7:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Official observations from the National Weather Service confirm a minimum temperature of 61°F at San Francisco International Airport on September 8, 2026, at 5:45 a.m. local time—five degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 56°F.** This reading, recorded under hazy conditions with light winds and no precipitation, aligns directly with the market's dominant 60–61°F outcome at 95.5% implied probability. Trader consensus reflects the authoritative climatological report from the primary station used for resolution, consistent with surrounding daily highs near 87°F and the absence of any cooler coastal or urban microclimate signals in preliminary data. The only realistic challenges would involve a late data revision or use of an alternate station showing a lower value, though historical patterns and model agreement make significant downward adjustments unlikely before final certification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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