Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and GFS model runs indicate a maximum near 21°C at Paris-Le Bourget under partly cloudy skies and light northwest flow following frontal passage, keeping readings near or slightly below the 1991–2020 September 9 average high of 22.4°C. Anticyclonic conditions and minimal moisture support modest daytime warming without strong insolation or southerly advection that would push values to 23°C or higher. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds—21°C at 58% and 22°C at 39%—aligns closely with this consensus, while probabilities for 23°C and above remain under 4% given the stable steering pattern and lack of heat advection signals in current observations. Resolution will depend on the official NOAA daily maximum at the designated station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on September 9?
21°C 70%
22°C 36%
23°C 1.8%
24°C <1%
$45,408 KL.
$45,408 KL.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
70%
22°C
29%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 70%
22°C 36%
23°C 1.8%
24°C <1%
$45,408 KL.
$45,408 KL.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
70%
22°C
29%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and GFS model runs indicate a maximum near 21°C at Paris-Le Bourget under partly cloudy skies and light northwest flow following frontal passage, keeping readings near or slightly below the 1991–2020 September 9 average high of 22.4°C. Anticyclonic conditions and minimal moisture support modest daytime warming without strong insolation or southerly advection that would push values to 23°C or higher. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds—21°C at 58% and 22°C at 39%—aligns closely with this consensus, while probabilities for 23°C and above remain under 4% given the stable steering pattern and lack of heat advection signals in current observations. Resolution will depend on the official NOAA daily maximum at the designated station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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