Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a mild September 11 in Buenos Aires, with overnight lows expected near 10–12°C under southeasterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and moderate humidity. This consensus supports the closely matched market-implied odds across buckets, as traders weigh the potential for slight downward revisions in model runs against the risk of warmer advection. Historical September minima average around 8–11°C, providing context, while an approaching cold front is more likely to influence temperatures starting September 12. Updated SMN briefings and next ensemble model releases will clarify whether the low settles near the 10°C or adjacent outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 11?
17°C or higher 71%
7°C or below 63%
14°C 39%
10°C 28%
7°C or below
63%
8°C
24%
9°C
25%
10°C
28%
11°C
22%
12°C
12%
13°C
16%
14°C
39%
15°C
14%
16°C
14%
17°C or higher
71%
17°C or higher 71%
7°C or below 63%
14°C 39%
10°C 28%
7°C or below
63%
8°C
24%
9°C
25%
10°C
28%
11°C
22%
12°C
12%
13°C
16%
14°C
39%
15°C
14%
16°C
14%
17°C or higher
71%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a mild September 11 in Buenos Aires, with overnight lows expected near 10–12°C under southeasterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and moderate humidity. This consensus supports the closely matched market-implied odds across buckets, as traders weigh the potential for slight downward revisions in model runs against the risk of warmer advection. Historical September minima average around 8–11°C, providing context, while an approaching cold front is more likely to influence temperatures starting September 12. Updated SMN briefings and next ensemble model releases will clarify whether the low settles near the 10°C or adjacent outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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