Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daytime high near 31–32°C in Shenzhen on September 10, with midday observations already reaching 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. This aligns with the market's strong 98.5% implied probability for 33°C, reflecting trader assessment of official station maxima in a subtropical environment where September averages hover around 30–32°C. Persistent northeasterly flow, moderate humidity, and afternoon convection limit further warming. A realistic challenge would require unexpectedly reduced cloud cover or delayed precipitation allowing an additional 1–2°C rise before evening cooling sets in. Updated model runs or real-time station data later today could still shift the final recorded peak.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 10?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 10?
33°C 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
$37,786 KL.
$37,786 KL.
Sep 10, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
$37,786 KL.
$37,786 KL.
Sep 10, 2026
26°C or below
$699 KL.
<1%
27°C
$840 KL.
<1%
28°C
$1,396 KL.
<1%
29°C
$2,117 KL.
<1%
30°C
$7,244 KL.
<1%
31°C
$6,589 KL.
<1%
32°C
$8,263 KL.
<1%
33°C
$5,352 KL.
100%
34°C
$3,791 KL.
<1%
35°C
$1,348 KL.
<1%
36°C or higher
$206 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daytime high near 31–32°C in Shenzhen on September 10, with midday observations already reaching 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. This aligns with the market's strong 98.5% implied probability for 33°C, reflecting trader assessment of official station maxima in a subtropical environment where September averages hover around 30–32°C. Persistent northeasterly flow, moderate humidity, and afternoon convection limit further warming. A realistic challenge would require unexpectedly reduced cloud cover or delayed precipitation allowing an additional 1–2°C rise before evening cooling sets in. Updated model runs or real-time station data later today could still shift the final recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$37,786Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daytime high near 31–32°C in Shenzhen on September 10, with midday observations already reaching 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. This aligns with the market's strong 98.5% implied probability for 33°C, reflecting trader assessment of official station maxima in a subtropical environment where September averages hover around 30–32°C. Persistent northeasterly flow, moderate humidity, and afternoon convection limit further warming. A realistic challenge would require unexpectedly reduced cloud cover or delayed precipitation allowing an additional 1–2°C rise before evening cooling sets in. Updated model runs or real-time station data later today could still shift the final recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$37,786Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daytime high near 31–32°C in Shenzhen on September 10, with midday observations already reaching 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. This aligns with the market's strong 98.5% implied probability for 33°C, reflecting trader assessment of official station maxima in a subtropical environment where September averages hover around 30–32°C. Persistent northeasterly flow, moderate humidity, and afternoon convection limit further warming. A realistic challenge would require unexpectedly reduced cloud cover or delayed precipitation allowing an additional 1–2°C rise before evening cooling sets in. Updated model runs or real-time station data later today could still shift the final recorded peak.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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