**Forecast consensus from multiple models centers on a high near 22°C for Paris on September 10, 2026, aligning closely with the climatological average high of 22.3°C.** Current runs from sources using GFS data and others project afternoon maxima of 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds around 3–7 km/h, and negligible precipitation risk. Stable high pressure and typical early-September steering patterns suppress significant warming or cooling, keeping the outcome tightly clustered around the long-term norm rather than extremes seen in prior years (e.g., 34.9°C in 2023). This scientific baseline—verified observations and short-range model agreement—explains why traders assign the highest implied probability to 22°C (56%), with 21°C and 23°C as secondary options reflecting minor model spread and uncertainty ranges in maximum temperature resolution. No major atmospheric shifts or updated guidance have emerged in the past 24–48 hours to alter this positioning, reinforcing the market-implied odds as a capital-weighted assessment of near-term forecast stability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on September 10?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 10?
22°C 57%
23°C 19%
21°C 16%
24°C 5%
MỚI
$12,051 KL.
MỚI
$12,051 KL.
Sep 10, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
16%
22°C
57%
23°C
19%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 57%
23°C 19%
21°C 16%
24°C 5%
MỚI
$12,051 KL.
MỚI
$12,051 KL.
Sep 10, 2026
17°C or below
$1,347 KL.
<1%
18°C
$1,164 KL.
<1%
19°C
$615 KL.
1%
20°C
$276 KL.
3%
21°C
$2,829 KL.
16%
22°C
$1,960 KL.
57%
23°C
$1,997 KL.
19%
24°C
$374 KL.
5%
25°C
$208 KL.
1%
26°C
$472 KL.
1%
27°C or higher
$809 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models centers on a high near 22°C for Paris on September 10, 2026, aligning closely with the climatological average high of 22.3°C.** Current runs from sources using GFS data and others project afternoon maxima of 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds around 3–7 km/h, and negligible precipitation risk. Stable high pressure and typical early-September steering patterns suppress significant warming or cooling, keeping the outcome tightly clustered around the long-term norm rather than extremes seen in prior years (e.g., 34.9°C in 2023).
This scientific baseline—verified observations and short-range model agreement—explains why traders assign the highest implied probability to 22°C (56%), with 21°C and 23°C as secondary options reflecting minor model spread and uncertainty ranges in maximum temperature resolution. No major atmospheric shifts or updated guidance have emerged in the past 24–48 hours to alter this positioning, reinforcing the market-implied odds as a capital-weighted assessment of near-term forecast stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$12,051Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models centers on a high near 22°C for Paris on September 10, 2026, aligning closely with the climatological average high of 22.3°C.** Current runs from sources using GFS data and others project afternoon maxima of 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds around 3–7 km/h, and negligible precipitation risk. Stable high pressure and typical early-September steering patterns suppress significant warming or cooling, keeping the outcome tightly clustered around the long-term norm rather than extremes seen in prior years (e.g., 34.9°C in 2023).
This scientific baseline—verified observations and short-range model agreement—explains why traders assign the highest implied probability to 22°C (56%), with 21°C and 23°C as secondary options reflecting minor model spread and uncertainty ranges in maximum temperature resolution. No major atmospheric shifts or updated guidance have emerged in the past 24–48 hours to alter this positioning, reinforcing the market-implied odds as a capital-weighted assessment of near-term forecast stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$12,051Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models centers on a high near 22°C for Paris on September 10, 2026, aligning closely with the climatological average high of 22.3°C.** Current runs from sources using GFS data and others project afternoon maxima of 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds around 3–7 km/h, and negligible precipitation risk. Stable high pressure and typical early-September steering patterns suppress significant warming or cooling, keeping the outcome tightly clustered around the long-term norm rather than extremes seen in prior years (e.g., 34.9°C in 2023). This scientific baseline—verified observations and short-range model agreement—explains why traders assign the highest implied probability to 22°C (56%), with 21°C and 23°C as secondary options reflecting minor model spread and uncertainty ranges in maximum temperature resolution. No major atmospheric shifts or updated guidance have emerged in the past 24–48 hours to alter this positioning, reinforcing the market-implied odds as a capital-weighted assessment of near-term forecast stability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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