**Incoming cooler air and widespread thunderstorms are the dominant drivers behind trader consensus favoring 23–25°C as the peak temperature in Milan on September 9.** Multiple forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated in the past 48 hours, show a shift from the hot, clear conditions of September 7–8 (highs near 32–33°C) to a low-pressure system arriving from the north, with 80–100% precipitation probability, elevated humidity, and reduced insolation. This pattern is expected to cap daytime maxima near 24°C (roughly 75°F), consistent with the market’s leading 36.5% probability on 24°C and secondary support for 23°C and 25°C. Historical September baselines for Milan average around 25°C, but the current synoptic setup—stronger northerly flow and cloud cover—makes values above 26°C or below 22°C less likely unless models shift substantially before resolution. Updated guidance from official Italian meteorological sources or the next ECMWF ensemble run will be the key near-term catalyst for any probability adjustments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on September 9?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 9?
24°C 37%
23°C 24%
25°C 17%
22°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 9, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
5%
21°C
7%
22°C
11%
23°C
24%
24°C
37%
25°C
17%
26°C
8%
27°C or higher
2%
24°C 37%
23°C 24%
25°C 17%
22°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 9, 2026
17°C or below
$125 KL.
1%
18°C
$115 KL.
<1%
19°C
$67 KL.
<1%
20°C
$0 KL.
5%
21°C
$2 KL.
7%
22°C
$0 KL.
11%
23°C
$81 KL.
24%
24°C
$55 KL.
37%
25°C
$33 KL.
17%
26°C
$13 KL.
8%
27°C or higher
$53 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Incoming cooler air and widespread thunderstorms are the dominant drivers behind trader consensus favoring 23–25°C as the peak temperature in Milan on September 9.** Multiple forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated in the past 48 hours, show a shift from the hot, clear conditions of September 7–8 (highs near 32–33°C) to a low-pressure system arriving from the north, with 80–100% precipitation probability, elevated humidity, and reduced insolation. This pattern is expected to cap daytime maxima near 24°C (roughly 75°F), consistent with the market’s leading 36.5% probability on 24°C and secondary support for 23°C and 25°C. Historical September baselines for Milan average around 25°C, but the current synoptic setup—stronger northerly flow and cloud cover—makes values above 26°C or below 22°C less likely unless models shift substantially before resolution. Updated guidance from official Italian meteorological sources or the next ECMWF ensemble run will be the key near-term catalyst for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$544Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Incoming cooler air and widespread thunderstorms are the dominant drivers behind trader consensus favoring 23–25°C as the peak temperature in Milan on September 9.** Multiple forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated in the past 48 hours, show a shift from the hot, clear conditions of September 7–8 (highs near 32–33°C) to a low-pressure system arriving from the north, with 80–100% precipitation probability, elevated humidity, and reduced insolation. This pattern is expected to cap daytime maxima near 24°C (roughly 75°F), consistent with the market’s leading 36.5% probability on 24°C and secondary support for 23°C and 25°C. Historical September baselines for Milan average around 25°C, but the current synoptic setup—stronger northerly flow and cloud cover—makes values above 26°C or below 22°C less likely unless models shift substantially before resolution. Updated guidance from official Italian meteorological sources or the next ECMWF ensemble run will be the key near-term catalyst for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$544Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Incoming cooler air and widespread thunderstorms are the dominant drivers behind trader consensus favoring 23–25°C as the peak temperature in Milan on September 9.** Multiple forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated in the past 48 hours, show a shift from the hot, clear conditions of September 7–8 (highs near 32–33°C) to a low-pressure system arriving from the north, with 80–100% precipitation probability, elevated humidity, and reduced insolation. This pattern is expected to cap daytime maxima near 24°C (roughly 75°F), consistent with the market’s leading 36.5% probability on 24°C and secondary support for 23°C and 25°C. Historical September baselines for Milan average around 25°C, but the current synoptic setup—stronger northerly flow and cloud cover—makes values above 26°C or below 22°C less likely unless models shift substantially before resolution. Updated guidance from official Italian meteorological sources or the next ECMWF ensemble run will be the key near-term catalyst for any probability adjustments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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