**South Florida's active thunderstorm pattern, driven by easterly moisture flow and a marginal flood risk from the Weather Prediction Center, positioned markets to favor measurable precipitation outcomes in Miami-area stations on September 8.** Official NWS and local reports confirmed repeated rounds of showers and thunderstorms capable of producing localized heavy downpours exceeding 0.01 inches, consistent with climatological late-summer patterns in the region. In contrast, high-pressure dominance and dry air kept precipitation at zero across much of the Northeast (e.g., LaGuardia recorded 0.00 inches), Mid-Atlantic, Pacific Northwest (Seattle 0.00 inches), and interior Southeast locations, aligning with national summaries noting only spotty Gulf Coast activity and dry conditions elsewhere. Bermuda observed 2.36 inches from a lingering frontal boundary, while scattered activity occurred in parts of Asia and Turkey's Black Sea coast. Traders weighted real-time model consensus and station data heavily, with resolution hinging on official daily totals from sources such as Weather Underground or NWS climate reports. Limited model divergence and the absence of major tropical systems kept probabilities stable into the final hours before data release.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhere will it rain on September 8?
New York, NY
25%
Los Angeles, CA
3%
Chicago, IL
49%
Houston, TX
3%
Dallas, TX
3%
Phoenix, AZ
26%
Philadelphia, PA
25%
Denver, CO
25%
Washington, DC
3%
Atlanta, GA
1%
Miami, FL
48%
Seattle, WA
25%
Boston, MA
25%
New Orleans, LA
99%
San Francisco, CA
25%
$3,568 KL.
New York, NY
25%
Los Angeles, CA
3%
Chicago, IL
49%
Houston, TX
3%
Dallas, TX
3%
Phoenix, AZ
26%
Philadelphia, PA
25%
Denver, CO
25%
Washington, DC
3%
Atlanta, GA
1%
Miami, FL
48%
Seattle, WA
25%
Boston, MA
25%
New Orleans, LA
99%
San Francisco, CA
25%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Người giải quyết
0x65070BE91...**South Florida's active thunderstorm pattern, driven by easterly moisture flow and a marginal flood risk from the Weather Prediction Center, positioned markets to favor measurable precipitation outcomes in Miami-area stations on September 8.** Official NWS and local reports confirmed repeated rounds of showers and thunderstorms capable of producing localized heavy downpours exceeding 0.01 inches, consistent with climatological late-summer patterns in the region. In contrast, high-pressure dominance and dry air kept precipitation at zero across much of the Northeast (e.g., LaGuardia recorded 0.00 inches), Mid-Atlantic, Pacific Northwest (Seattle 0.00 inches), and interior Southeast locations, aligning with national summaries noting only spotty Gulf Coast activity and dry conditions elsewhere. Bermuda observed 2.36 inches from a lingering frontal boundary, while scattered activity occurred in parts of Asia and Turkey's Black Sea coast. Traders weighted real-time model consensus and station data heavily, with resolution hinging on official daily totals from sources such as Weather Underground or NWS climate reports. Limited model divergence and the absence of major tropical systems kept probabilities stable into the final hours before data release.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp