**Persistent warm high pressure and limited nocturnal cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies are positioning the market toward higher minimum temperatures for Denver on September 11.** National Weather Service and model guidance indicate daytime highs near 85–92°F through the period, with overnight lows most likely in the mid-to-upper 50s, reflecting a continuation of the current above-normal September pattern rather than any sharp cold-air intrusion. Recent observations show minimal overnight drops consistent with this regime, while historical averages for the date hover near 51°F. Trader consensus reflected in the 44% implied probability on 72°F or higher, alongside substantial shares for 58–65°F bins, captures uncertainty in exact radiative cooling rates and any late adjustments from steering winds or moisture. Updated NWS forecast discussions and model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Denver on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Denver on September 11?
72°F or higher 93%
64-65°F 39%
66-67°F 39%
68-69°F 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 11, 2026
53°F or below
18%
54-55°F
24%
56-57°F
22%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
20%
64-65°F
39%
66-67°F
39%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
39%
72°F or higher
93%
72°F or higher 93%
64-65°F 39%
66-67°F 39%
68-69°F 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 11, 2026
53°F or below
$0 KL.
18%
54-55°F
$0 KL.
24%
56-57°F
$0 KL.
22%
58-59°F
$0 KL.
26%
60-61°F
$0 KL.
25%
62-63°F
$0 KL.
20%
64-65°F
$0 KL.
39%
66-67°F
$0 KL.
39%
68-69°F
$0 KL.
39%
70-71°F
$0 KL.
39%
72°F or higher
$0 KL.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm high pressure and limited nocturnal cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies are positioning the market toward higher minimum temperatures for Denver on September 11.** National Weather Service and model guidance indicate daytime highs near 85–92°F through the period, with overnight lows most likely in the mid-to-upper 50s, reflecting a continuation of the current above-normal September pattern rather than any sharp cold-air intrusion. Recent observations show minimal overnight drops consistent with this regime, while historical averages for the date hover near 51°F. Trader consensus reflected in the 44% implied probability on 72°F or higher, alongside substantial shares for 58–65°F bins, captures uncertainty in exact radiative cooling rates and any late adjustments from steering winds or moisture. Updated NWS forecast discussions and model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm high pressure and limited nocturnal cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies are positioning the market toward higher minimum temperatures for Denver on September 11.** National Weather Service and model guidance indicate daytime highs near 85–92°F through the period, with overnight lows most likely in the mid-to-upper 50s, reflecting a continuation of the current above-normal September pattern rather than any sharp cold-air intrusion. Recent observations show minimal overnight drops consistent with this regime, while historical averages for the date hover near 51°F. Trader consensus reflected in the 44% implied probability on 72°F or higher, alongside substantial shares for 58–65°F bins, captures uncertainty in exact radiative cooling rates and any late adjustments from steering winds or moisture. Updated NWS forecast discussions and model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent warm high pressure and limited nocturnal cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies are positioning the market toward higher minimum temperatures for Denver on September 11.** National Weather Service and model guidance indicate daytime highs near 85–92°F through the period, with overnight lows most likely in the mid-to-upper 50s, reflecting a continuation of the current above-normal September pattern rather than any sharp cold-air intrusion. Recent observations show minimal overnight drops consistent with this regime, while historical averages for the date hover near 51°F. Trader consensus reflected in the 44% implied probability on 72°F or higher, alongside substantial shares for 58–65°F bins, captures uncertainty in exact radiative cooling rates and any late adjustments from steering winds or moisture. Updated NWS forecast discussions and model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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