**Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a 27°C high for Toronto on September 9 amid morning showers, afternoon thunderstorm risk, and southwesterly winds gusting to 40 km/h, yet market-implied probabilities peak at 24–25°C (combined ~57%).** Traders appear to discount the official outlook because persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread precipitation will reduce solar insolation and suppress peak temperatures below the guidance. Southwesterly flow advects moisture from the Great Lakes region, favoring overcast conditions that historically cap highs several degrees cooler than clear-sky scenarios. With September 9 climatological averages near 23°C and recent model runs showing variability in rainfall timing, the closely matched 24–25°C outcomes reflect uncertainty over whether convection develops early enough to limit afternoon warming. New model guidance and the morning update on September 9 will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Toronto on September 9?
Highest temperature in Toronto on September 9?
25°C 30%
24°C 29%
26°C 17%
23°C 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 9, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
15%
24°C
29%
25°C
30%
26°C
17%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
2%
25°C 30%
24°C 29%
26°C 17%
23°C 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 9, 2026
19°C or below
$971 KL.
<1%
20°C
$830 KL.
2%
21°C
$220 KL.
2%
22°C
$746 KL.
6%
23°C
$661 KL.
15%
24°C
$842 KL.
29%
25°C
$2,166 KL.
30%
26°C
$868 KL.
17%
27°C
$853 KL.
4%
28°C
$237 KL.
2%
29°C or higher
$283 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a 27°C high for Toronto on September 9 amid morning showers, afternoon thunderstorm risk, and southwesterly winds gusting to 40 km/h, yet market-implied probabilities peak at 24–25°C (combined ~57%).** Traders appear to discount the official outlook because persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread precipitation will reduce solar insolation and suppress peak temperatures below the guidance. Southwesterly flow advects moisture from the Great Lakes region, favoring overcast conditions that historically cap highs several degrees cooler than clear-sky scenarios. With September 9 climatological averages near 23°C and recent model runs showing variability in rainfall timing, the closely matched 24–25°C outcomes reflect uncertainty over whether convection develops early enough to limit afternoon warming. New model guidance and the morning update on September 9 will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,596Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a 27°C high for Toronto on September 9 amid morning showers, afternoon thunderstorm risk, and southwesterly winds gusting to 40 km/h, yet market-implied probabilities peak at 24–25°C (combined ~57%).** Traders appear to discount the official outlook because persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread precipitation will reduce solar insolation and suppress peak temperatures below the guidance. Southwesterly flow advects moisture from the Great Lakes region, favoring overcast conditions that historically cap highs several degrees cooler than clear-sky scenarios. With September 9 climatological averages near 23°C and recent model runs showing variability in rainfall timing, the closely matched 24–25°C outcomes reflect uncertainty over whether convection develops early enough to limit afternoon warming. New model guidance and the morning update on September 9 will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$8,596Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a 27°C high for Toronto on September 9 amid morning showers, afternoon thunderstorm risk, and southwesterly winds gusting to 40 km/h, yet market-implied probabilities peak at 24–25°C (combined ~57%).** Traders appear to discount the official outlook because persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread precipitation will reduce solar insolation and suppress peak temperatures below the guidance. Southwesterly flow advects moisture from the Great Lakes region, favoring overcast conditions that historically cap highs several degrees cooler than clear-sky scenarios. With September 9 climatological averages near 23°C and recent model runs showing variability in rainfall timing, the closely matched 24–25°C outcomes reflect uncertainty over whether convection develops early enough to limit afternoon warming. New model guidance and the morning update on September 9 will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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