Recent numerical weather prediction models, including outputs from the German Weather Service (DWD) and international ensembles, indicate a southerly flow advecting warmer air masses into southern Bavaria, supporting daytime maxima of 29–31 °C in Munich on September 8. This setup, combined with partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, favors strong daytime heating under late-summer insolation, pushing temperatures well above the 20.9 °C climatological average while remaining within historical extremes for the date. Forecast consensus across global and regional models shows limited spread on peak values, though minor timing differences in cloud cover or frontal approach could shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C. Trader positioning around 31 °C reflects this tight range of guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or much hotter outliers pending the next model updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on September 8?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 8?
31°C 51%
32°C 28%
29°C 16%
30°C 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 8, 2026
27°C or below
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
16%
31°C
51%
32°C
28%
33°C
7%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
31°C 51%
32°C 28%
29°C 16%
30°C 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 8, 2026
27°C or below
$0 KL.
4%
28°C
$0 KL.
4%
29°C
$0 KL.
16%
30°C
$0 KL.
16%
31°C
$104 KL.
51%
32°C
$7 KL.
28%
33°C
$11 KL.
7%
34°C
$0 KL.
4%
35°C
$0 KL.
1%
36°C
$0 KL.
1%
37°C or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including outputs from the German Weather Service (DWD) and international ensembles, indicate a southerly flow advecting warmer air masses into southern Bavaria, supporting daytime maxima of 29–31 °C in Munich on September 8. This setup, combined with partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, favors strong daytime heating under late-summer insolation, pushing temperatures well above the 20.9 °C climatological average while remaining within historical extremes for the date. Forecast consensus across global and regional models shows limited spread on peak values, though minor timing differences in cloud cover or frontal approach could shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C. Trader positioning around 31 °C reflects this tight range of guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or much hotter outliers pending the next model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$122Ngày kết thúc
Sep 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including outputs from the German Weather Service (DWD) and international ensembles, indicate a southerly flow advecting warmer air masses into southern Bavaria, supporting daytime maxima of 29–31 °C in Munich on September 8. This setup, combined with partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, favors strong daytime heating under late-summer insolation, pushing temperatures well above the 20.9 °C climatological average while remaining within historical extremes for the date. Forecast consensus across global and regional models shows limited spread on peak values, though minor timing differences in cloud cover or frontal approach could shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C. Trader positioning around 31 °C reflects this tight range of guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or much hotter outliers pending the next model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$122Ngày kết thúc
Sep 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including outputs from the German Weather Service (DWD) and international ensembles, indicate a southerly flow advecting warmer air masses into southern Bavaria, supporting daytime maxima of 29–31 °C in Munich on September 8. This setup, combined with partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, favors strong daytime heating under late-summer insolation, pushing temperatures well above the 20.9 °C climatological average while remaining within historical extremes for the date. Forecast consensus across global and regional models shows limited spread on peak values, though minor timing differences in cloud cover or frontal approach could shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C. Trader positioning around 31 °C reflects this tight range of guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or much hotter outliers pending the next model updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp