**Clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions are positioning the overnight minimum in Cape Town around 13–15 °C for September 8, 2026.** Multiple official and model forecasts (including Met Office guidance of a 13 °C nighttime low, Yr.no hourly data showing early-morning readings near 14–15 °C at Cape Town International Airport, and consistent outputs from WeatherBug and others) converge on this range, with radiative cooling under clear conditions and dew points in the 12–14 °C band supporting modest overnight drops after recent daytime highs of 25–30 °C. September climatology for the region features typical spring minima in the low-to-mid teens °C, and the absence of frontal systems or strong onshore flow has kept temperatures aligned with these expectations rather than cooler anomalies seen earlier in the month. With the market-implied probabilities highest for 14 °C (47.5 %), 13 °C (37.5 %), and 15 °C (31.5 %), traders appear to be weighting the tight forecast consensus and limited downside risk from current model runs, though final resolution depends on the precise official station reading once the meteorological day concludes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 8?
15°C 52%
14°C 47%
13°C 38%
11°C or below <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 8, 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
-
13°C
38%
14°C
47%
15°C
52%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
15°C 52%
14°C 47%
13°C 38%
11°C or below <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 8, 2026
11°C or below
$37 KL.
1%
12°C
$38 KL.
-
13°C
$0 KL.
38%
14°C
$5 KL.
47%
15°C
$32 KL.
52%
16°C
$337 KL.
<1%
17°C
$190 KL.
<1%
18°C
$779 KL.
<1%
19°C
$35 KL.
<1%
20°C
$35 KL.
<1%
21°C or higher
$15 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions are positioning the overnight minimum in Cape Town around 13–15 °C for September 8, 2026.**
Multiple official and model forecasts (including Met Office guidance of a 13 °C nighttime low, Yr.no hourly data showing early-morning readings near 14–15 °C at Cape Town International Airport, and consistent outputs from WeatherBug and others) converge on this range, with radiative cooling under clear conditions and dew points in the 12–14 °C band supporting modest overnight drops after recent daytime highs of 25–30 °C.
September climatology for the region features typical spring minima in the low-to-mid teens °C, and the absence of frontal systems or strong onshore flow has kept temperatures aligned with these expectations rather than cooler anomalies seen earlier in the month.
With the market-implied probabilities highest for 14 °C (47.5 %), 13 °C (37.5 %), and 15 °C (31.5 %), traders appear to be weighting the tight forecast consensus and limited downside risk from current model runs, though final resolution depends on the precise official station reading once the meteorological day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,496Ngày kết thúc
Sep 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions are positioning the overnight minimum in Cape Town around 13–15 °C for September 8, 2026.**
Multiple official and model forecasts (including Met Office guidance of a 13 °C nighttime low, Yr.no hourly data showing early-morning readings near 14–15 °C at Cape Town International Airport, and consistent outputs from WeatherBug and others) converge on this range, with radiative cooling under clear conditions and dew points in the 12–14 °C band supporting modest overnight drops after recent daytime highs of 25–30 °C.
September climatology for the region features typical spring minima in the low-to-mid teens °C, and the absence of frontal systems or strong onshore flow has kept temperatures aligned with these expectations rather than cooler anomalies seen earlier in the month.
With the market-implied probabilities highest for 14 °C (47.5 %), 13 °C (37.5 %), and 15 °C (31.5 %), traders appear to be weighting the tight forecast consensus and limited downside risk from current model runs, though final resolution depends on the precise official station reading once the meteorological day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,496Ngày kết thúc
Sep 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions are positioning the overnight minimum in Cape Town around 13–15 °C for September 8, 2026.** Multiple official and model forecasts (including Met Office guidance of a 13 °C nighttime low, Yr.no hourly data showing early-morning readings near 14–15 °C at Cape Town International Airport, and consistent outputs from WeatherBug and others) converge on this range, with radiative cooling under clear conditions and dew points in the 12–14 °C band supporting modest overnight drops after recent daytime highs of 25–30 °C. September climatology for the region features typical spring minima in the low-to-mid teens °C, and the absence of frontal systems or strong onshore flow has kept temperatures aligned with these expectations rather than cooler anomalies seen earlier in the month. With the market-implied probabilities highest for 14 °C (47.5 %), 13 °C (37.5 %), and 15 °C (31.5 %), traders appear to be weighting the tight forecast consensus and limited downside risk from current model runs, though final resolution depends on the precise official station reading once the meteorological day concludes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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