**Forecast divergence between official guidance and private models is the main driver of trader positioning around 19–20°C lows for Toronto on September 9.** Environment Canada’s latest bulletin calls for showers during the day (high 24°C) followed by a 60% chance of overnight showers and a low of 15°C, consistent with cooler air advection behind a passing system. In contrast, several GFS-based and international services project overnight minima near 19–20°C (67–68°F) amid persistent cloud cover and lighter winds that limit radiational cooling. Historical September 9 averages near 15°C provide context, yet current model spread—particularly on timing and intensity of showers—keeps probabilities clustered between 19°C (36%) and 20°C (30%), with 24°C+ at 27.5% reflecting residual uncertainty ahead of updated model runs and the next Environment Canada issuance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Toronto on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on September 9?
24°C or higher 70%
14°C or below 48%
22°C 47%
19°C 36%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 9, 2026
14°C or below
48%
15°C
19%
16°C
20%
17°C
26%
18°C
29%
19°C
36%
20°C
32%
21°C
25%
22°C
47%
23°C
8%
24°C or higher
70%
24°C or higher 70%
14°C or below 48%
22°C 47%
19°C 36%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 9, 2026
14°C or below
$51 KL.
48%
15°C
$12 KL.
19%
16°C
$8 KL.
20%
17°C
$14 KL.
26%
18°C
$37 KL.
29%
19°C
$0 KL.
36%
20°C
$0 KL.
32%
21°C
$0 KL.
25%
22°C
$40 KL.
47%
23°C
$77 KL.
8%
24°C or higher
$30 KL.
70%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast divergence between official guidance and private models is the main driver of trader positioning around 19–20°C lows for Toronto on September 9.** Environment Canada’s latest bulletin calls for showers during the day (high 24°C) followed by a 60% chance of overnight showers and a low of 15°C, consistent with cooler air advection behind a passing system. In contrast, several GFS-based and international services project overnight minima near 19–20°C (67–68°F) amid persistent cloud cover and lighter winds that limit radiational cooling. Historical September 9 averages near 15°C provide context, yet current model spread—particularly on timing and intensity of showers—keeps probabilities clustered between 19°C (36%) and 20°C (30%), with 24°C+ at 27.5% reflecting residual uncertainty ahead of updated model runs and the next Environment Canada issuance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$269Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast divergence between official guidance and private models is the main driver of trader positioning around 19–20°C lows for Toronto on September 9.** Environment Canada’s latest bulletin calls for showers during the day (high 24°C) followed by a 60% chance of overnight showers and a low of 15°C, consistent with cooler air advection behind a passing system. In contrast, several GFS-based and international services project overnight minima near 19–20°C (67–68°F) amid persistent cloud cover and lighter winds that limit radiational cooling. Historical September 9 averages near 15°C provide context, yet current model spread—particularly on timing and intensity of showers—keeps probabilities clustered between 19°C (36%) and 20°C (30%), with 24°C+ at 27.5% reflecting residual uncertainty ahead of updated model runs and the next Environment Canada issuance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$269Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast divergence between official guidance and private models is the main driver of trader positioning around 19–20°C lows for Toronto on September 9.** Environment Canada’s latest bulletin calls for showers during the day (high 24°C) followed by a 60% chance of overnight showers and a low of 15°C, consistent with cooler air advection behind a passing system. In contrast, several GFS-based and international services project overnight minima near 19–20°C (67–68°F) amid persistent cloud cover and lighter winds that limit radiational cooling. Historical September 9 averages near 15°C provide context, yet current model spread—particularly on timing and intensity of showers—keeps probabilities clustered between 19°C (36%) and 20°C (30%), with 24°C+ at 27.5% reflecting residual uncertainty ahead of updated model runs and the next Environment Canada issuance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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