Traders assign the highest probability to a 26–27°C peak in Busan on September 10 because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show a moderating maritime air mass over the East Sea following a recent frontal passage, consistent with September climatology where average daily maxima hover near 26°C. Coastal location and sea-surface temperatures around 25–26°C limit extremes through marine moderation, while weak subtropical ridging may allow brief warming before increased cloud cover or showers arrives. Official Korea Meteorological Administration updates and next model cycles will clarify whether subtle steering patterns push the outcome toward the upper or lower end of the tightly bunched 24–28°C range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Busan on September 10?
27°C 30%
26°C 28%
25°C 17%
24°C 11%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
11%
25°C
17%
26°C
28%
27°C
30%
28°C
11%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 30%
26°C 28%
25°C 17%
24°C 11%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
11%
25°C
17%
26°C
28%
27°C
30%
28°C
11%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest probability to a 26–27°C peak in Busan on September 10 because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show a moderating maritime air mass over the East Sea following a recent frontal passage, consistent with September climatology where average daily maxima hover near 26°C. Coastal location and sea-surface temperatures around 25–26°C limit extremes through marine moderation, while weak subtropical ridging may allow brief warming before increased cloud cover or showers arrives. Official Korea Meteorological Administration updates and next model cycles will clarify whether subtle steering patterns push the outcome toward the upper or lower end of the tightly bunched 24–28°C range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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