**Forecast models and official guidance point to a peak temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 10 most likely between 31–33 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 32 °C (38 %) and 33 °C (33 %).** September’s typical afternoon convection—driven by high humidity, light winds, and daytime heating—often produces scattered thunderstorms that cap maximum readings by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent model runs show modest spread in the timing and intensity of this convection, which directly influences whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of the narrow range. Historical September averages near 32–33 °C and current surface conditions (dew points in the mid-20s °C, modest pressure gradients) reinforce the narrow probability band, while any earlier or stronger storms could shift the outcome toward 31 °C and clearer skies or delayed rain could allow brief spikes to 34 °C. Updated short-range guidance expected later today will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 10?
32°C 38%
33°C 33%
31°C 11%
34°C 11%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
38%
33°C
33%
34°C
11%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 38%
33°C 33%
31°C 11%
34°C 11%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
38%
33°C
33%
34°C
11%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance point to a peak temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 10 most likely between 31–33 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 32 °C (38 %) and 33 °C (33 %).** September’s typical afternoon convection—driven by high humidity, light winds, and daytime heating—often produces scattered thunderstorms that cap maximum readings by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent model runs show modest spread in the timing and intensity of this convection, which directly influences whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of the narrow range. Historical September averages near 32–33 °C and current surface conditions (dew points in the mid-20s °C, modest pressure gradients) reinforce the narrow probability band, while any earlier or stronger storms could shift the outcome toward 31 °C and clearer skies or delayed rain could allow brief spikes to 34 °C. Updated short-range guidance expected later today will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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