Trader consensus around 24–25°C for Chengdu’s September 11 high reflects forecast models showing persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and residual cooling from the recent cold-air outbreak and heavy rain that dropped daytime readings from the low 30s°C into the low-to-mid 20s. These factors limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping the maximum below typical early-September values. Official station observations, updated model runs, and any late-day clearing will determine the precise peak, with resolution hinging on whether readings reach the 26°C threshold or remain capped near 24°C amid ongoing humidity near 75–85%.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 11?
25°C 33%
24°C 26%
26°C 16%
23°C 12%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
12%
24°C
26%
25°C
33%
26°C
16%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 33%
24°C 26%
26°C 16%
23°C 12%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
12%
24°C
26%
25°C
33%
26°C
16%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 24–25°C for Chengdu’s September 11 high reflects forecast models showing persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and residual cooling from the recent cold-air outbreak and heavy rain that dropped daytime readings from the low 30s°C into the low-to-mid 20s. These factors limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping the maximum below typical early-September values. Official station observations, updated model runs, and any late-day clearing will determine the precise peak, with resolution hinging on whether readings reach the 26°C threshold or remain capped near 24°C amid ongoing humidity near 75–85%.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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