Persistent cloud cover and widespread showers across São Paulo on September 9 are limiting daytime heating, keeping maximum temperatures clustered near 22–24 °C according to the latest regional model consensus. Light northerly winds and high relative humidity above 80 percent further suppress the diurnal rise, while scattered thunderstorms—driven by a passing frontal boundary—introduce timing uncertainty that separates the 22 °C, 23 °C, and 24 °C outcomes in trader pricing. Official observations from the previous 48 hours show similar cool, moist conditions with daily maxima 2–3 °C below September climatology, reinforcing the narrow spread among the top probabilities. Updated short-range guidance and any late-day clearing will be the key data points that could shift implied odds before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 9?
23°C 32%
22°C 25%
24°C 23%
21°C 10%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
10%
22°C
25%
23°C
32%
24°C
23%
25°C or higher
7%
23°C 32%
22°C 25%
24°C 23%
21°C 10%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
10%
22°C
25%
23°C
32%
24°C
23%
25°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and widespread showers across São Paulo on September 9 are limiting daytime heating, keeping maximum temperatures clustered near 22–24 °C according to the latest regional model consensus. Light northerly winds and high relative humidity above 80 percent further suppress the diurnal rise, while scattered thunderstorms—driven by a passing frontal boundary—introduce timing uncertainty that separates the 22 °C, 23 °C, and 24 °C outcomes in trader pricing. Official observations from the previous 48 hours show similar cool, moist conditions with daily maxima 2–3 °C below September climatology, reinforcing the narrow spread among the top probabilities. Updated short-range guidance and any late-day clearing will be the key data points that could shift implied odds before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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